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Bundesliga

Referee: Bastian Dankert

Mainz

T T U S U

2–1

Full-time

Ein Frankfurt

T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Ein Frankfurt

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,2

This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 31%

38%

23%

Points per game

1,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

62%

46%

Both score Ø 54%

46%

62%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

53% Possession 47%

14 Shots 15

8 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

3 Corners 7

3 Offside 3

0 Free kicks against 0

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Mainz 11. · Ein Frankfurt 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	14	13	1	0	+37	40
2	Dortmund	13	9	2	2	+18	29
3	Wolfsburg	13	7	3	3	+8	24
4	M'gladbach	14	7	2	5	+6	23
5	Hertha	14	7	2	5	+1	23
6	Hamburg	14	6	3	5	-1	21
7	Leverkusen	13	6	2	5	+0	20
8	Schalke 04	13	6	2	5	-2	20
9	FC Koln	14	5	5	4	-3	20
10	FC Ingolstadt 04	14	5	4	5	-4	19
11	Mainz	13	5	2	6	-1	17
12	Darmstadt	14	3	6	5	-5	15
13	Ein Frankfurt	13	3	5	5	-3	14
14	Hannover	14	4	2	8	-7	14
15	Werder Bremen	14	4	1	9	-14	13
16	Stuttgart	13	3	1	9	-14	10
17	Augsburg	13	2	3	8	-8	9
18	Hoffenheim	14	1	6	7	-8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	8	8	0	0	+27	24
2	Wolfsburg	7	6	1	0	+15	19
3	Dortmund	6	5	1	0	+14	16
4	Hertha	6	4	1	1	+4	13
5	M'gladbach	7	4	1	2	+3	13
6	Schalke 04	7	3	2	2	-1	11
7	Leverkusen	6	3	1	2	+1	10
8	FC Koln	7	2	4	1	+1	10
9	Mainz	7	3	0	4	-1	9
10	Hamburg	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	FC Ingolstadt 04	6	2	1	3	-2	7
12	Darmstadt	8	1	4	3	-4	7
13	Ein Frankfurt	6	1	3	2	-2	6
14	Hannover	7	2	0	5	-3	6
15	Stuttgart	7	2	0	5	-9	6
16	Hoffenheim	7	0	4	3	-4	4
17	Augsburg	7	1	1	5	-5	4
18	Werder Bremen	7	1	0	6	-11	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	6	5	1	0	+10	16
2	Dortmund	7	4	1	2	+4	13
3	Hamburg	8	4	1	3	-2	13
4	FC Ingolstadt 04	8	3	3	2	-2	12
5	M'gladbach	7	3	1	3	+3	10
6	Leverkusen	7	3	1	3	-1	10
7	Werder Bremen	7	3	1	3	-3	10
8	Hertha	8	3	1	4	-3	10
9	FC Koln	7	3	1	3	-4	10
10	Schalke 04	6	3	0	3	-1	9
11	Mainz	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	Ein Frankfurt	7	2	2	3	-1	8
13	Darmstadt	6	2	2	2	-1	8
14	Hannover	7	2	2	3	-4	8
15	Augsburg	6	1	2	3	-3	5
16	Hoffenheim	7	1	2	4	-4	5
17	Wolfsburg	6	1	2	3	-7	5
18	Stuttgart	6	1	1	4	-5	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.