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Bundesliga

Referee: Tobias Stieler

Leverkusen

U U S U S

1–0

Full-time

Werder Bremen

T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Werder Bremen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

This season — Bundesliga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 30%

40%

20%

Points per game

1,6

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 53%

73%

33%

Average goals

3,2

1,9

Scored

1,9

0,7

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

15 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 1

5 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 26

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leverkusen 8. · Werder Bremen 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	11	2	2	+24	35
2	RB Leipzig	16	8	4	4	+3	28
3	Hoffenheim	16	7	5	4	+6	26
4	Schalke 04	15	7	5	3	+6	26
5	Dortmund	16	7	4	5	+14	25
6	Ein Frankfurt	16	7	4	5	+2	25
7	M'gladbach	16	7	4	5	-3	25
8	Leverkusen	15	6	6	3	+10	24
9	Augsburg	15	6	5	4	+5	23
10	Hannover	15	6	4	5	+0	22
11	Wolfsburg	16	3	10	3	+1	19
12	Hertha	15	4	6	5	-2	18
13	Freiburg	16	4	6	6	-14	18
14	Stuttgart	16	5	2	9	-7	17
15	Mainz	16	4	4	8	-9	16
16	Hamburg	16	4	3	9	-8	15
17	Werder Bremen	15	3	5	7	-6	14
18	FC Koln	15	0	3	12	-22	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	7	6	1	0	+18	19
2	Hoffenheim	9	5	3	1	+8	18
3	RB Leipzig	7	5	2	0	+8	17
4	Stuttgart	7	5	1	1	+5	16
5	Schalke 04	8	4	3	1	+5	15
6	Hannover	7	4	2	1	+6	14
7	Freiburg	9	3	5	1	+2	14
8	M'gladbach	8	4	2	2	+0	14
9	Leverkusen	7	3	4	0	+8	13
10	Mainz	9	4	1	4	-1	13
11	Augsburg	8	3	3	2	+3	12
12	Wolfsburg	9	2	6	1	+2	12
13	Hertha	8	3	2	3	-1	11
14	Hamburg	9	3	2	4	-1	11
15	Dortmund	7	3	1	3	+8	10
16	Ein Frankfurt	7	2	1	4	-2	7
17	Werder Bremen	7	2	1	4	-3	7
18	FC Koln	7	0	1	6	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ein Frankfurt	9	5	3	1	+4	18
2	Bayern Munich	8	5	1	2	+6	16
3	Dortmund	9	4	3	2	+6	15
4	Leverkusen	8	3	2	3	+2	11
5	Augsburg	7	3	2	2	+2	11
6	Schalke 04	7	3	2	2	+1	11
7	M'gladbach	8	3	2	3	-3	11
8	RB Leipzig	9	3	2	4	-5	11
9	Hoffenheim	7	2	2	3	-2	8
10	Hannover	8	2	2	4	-6	8
11	Hertha	7	1	4	2	-1	7
12	Wolfsburg	7	1	4	2	-1	7
13	Werder Bremen	8	1	4	3	-3	7
14	Hamburg	7	1	1	5	-7	4
15	Freiburg	7	1	1	5	-16	4
16	Mainz	7	0	3	4	-8	3
17	FC Koln	8	0	2	6	-12	2
18	Stuttgart	9	0	1	8	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.