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Bundesliga
Referee: Patrick Ittrich
Ein Frankfurt
S U U S U
0–1
Full-time
Leverkusen
U S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 38%
42%
33%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,6
Scored
1,2
2,1
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
14 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
20 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 7. · Leverkusen 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 12 9 2 1 +22 29
2 Schalke 04 12 7 2 3 +6 23
3 RB Leipzig 12 7 2 3 +5 23
4 M'gladbach 12 6 3 3 +0 21
5 Dortmund 12 6 2 4 +13 20
6 Hoffenheim 12 5 5 2 +6 20
7 Ein Frankfurt 12 5 4 3 +2 19
8 Hannover 13 5 4 4 +0 19
9 Leverkusen 12 4 5 3 +7 17
10 Stuttgart 13 5 2 6 -3 17
11 Augsburg 12 4 4 4 +2 16
12 Mainz 12 4 3 5 -4 15
13 Wolfsburg 12 2 8 2 -1 14
14 Hertha 12 3 5 4 -3 14
15 Hamburg 12 3 1 8 -10 10
16 Werder Bremen 12 1 5 6 -6 8
17 Freiburg 12 1 5 6 -17 8
18 FC Koln 12 0 2 10 -19 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt Leverkusen
18′
🟨 Lucas Alario
David Abraham 🟨
25′
45′
🟨 Admir Mehmedi
Half-time 0–0
Ante Rebić 🟨
52′
66′
🔁 K. Bellarabi
↦ L. Alario
D. Kamada 🔁
↦ M. Stendera
68′
Simon Falette 🟨
73′
76′
K. Volland 0–1
A. Mehmedi
Carlos Salcedo 🟨
82′
85′
🔁 André Ramalho
↦ J. Brandt
B. Hrgota 🔁
↦ C. Salcedo
87′
89′
🟨 Dominik Kohr
90′
🔁 S. Kießling
↦ K. Volland
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

3-1-4-2
1 L. Hradecky G
19 D. Abraham D
15 J. Willems M
3 S. Falette D
13 C. Salcedo D
17 K. Boateng M
11 M. Gaćinović M
21 M. Stendera M
27 M. Wolf M
9 S. Haller F
4 A. Rebić F
Bench (7)
40 D. Kamada
31 B. Hrgota
5 G. Fernandes
8 L. Jović
20 M. Hasebe
33 T. Tawatha
37 J. Zimmermann

Coach: N. Kovač

Leverkusen

3-4-2-1
1 B. Leno G
4 J. Tah D
3 P. Retsos D
8 L. Bender M
20 C. Aránguiz M
10 J. Brandt M
21 D. Kohr M
29 K. Havertz M
14 A. Mehmedi M
31 K. Volland F
13 L. Alario F
Bench (7)
38 K. Bellarabi
2 André Ramalho
11 S. Kießling
15 J. Baumgartlinger
17 J. Pohjanpalo
28 R. Özcan
37 M. Frey

Coach: H. Herrlich

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Patrick Ittrich · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.