Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Ein Frankfurt
Leverkusen
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | +22 | 29 |
| 2 |
Schalke 04
|
12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 23 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 23 |
| 4 |
M'gladbach
|
12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 21 |
| 5 |
Dortmund
|
12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +13 | 20 |
| 6 |
Hoffenheim
|
12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 19 |
| 8 |
Hannover
|
13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +0 | 19 |
| 9 |
Leverkusen
|
12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +7 | 17 |
| 10 |
Stuttgart
|
13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 17 |
| 11 |
Augsburg
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 16 |
| 12 |
Mainz
|
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
| 13 |
Wolfsburg
|
12 | 2 | 8 | 2 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 |
Hertha
|
12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 14 |
| 15 |
Hamburg
|
12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -10 | 10 |
| 16 |
Werder Bremen
|
12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -6 | 8 |
| 17 |
Freiburg
|
12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -17 | 8 |
| 18 |
FC Koln
|
12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -19 | 2 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
L. Hradecky
G
M. Gaćinović
M
M. Wolf
M
Coach: N. Kovač
B. Leno
G
J. Tah
D
P. Retsos
D
J. Brandt
M
D. Kohr
M
K. Havertz
M
Coach: H. Herrlich
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Hoffenheim
Ein Frankfurt
Ein Frankfurt
Werder Bremen
Mainz
Ein Frankfurt
Ein Frankfurt
Dortmund
Hannover
Ein Frankfurt
Patrick Ittrich · 43 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.