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Bundesliga
Referee: Wolfgang Stark
Werder Bremen
U S S T T
0–3
Full-time
Leverkusen
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

36% Possession 64%
9 Shots 17
0 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 6
4 Offside 7
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Werder Bremen 13. · Leverkusen 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 6 6 0 0 +17 18
2 Dortmund 6 5 1 0 +15 16
3 Schalke 04 6 4 1 1 +4 13
4 Wolfsburg 6 3 2 1 +2 11
5 FC Koln 7 3 2 2 -2 11
6 FC Ingolstadt 04 7 3 2 2 -2 11
7 Hertha 6 3 1 2 +0 10
8 Hamburg 6 3 1 2 -1 10
9 Mainz 6 3 0 3 +3 9
10 Darmstadt 6 2 3 1 -1 9
11 Leverkusen 6 3 0 3 -4 9
12 Ein Frankfurt 6 2 2 2 +4 8
13 Werder Bremen 6 2 1 3 -2 7
14 Augsburg 6 1 1 4 -3 4
15 Stuttgart 6 1 0 5 -6 3
16 M'gladbach 6 1 0 5 -8 3
17 Hoffenheim 6 0 2 4 -6 2
18 Hannover 6 0 1 5 -10 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Werder Bremen Leverkusen
31′
A. Mehmedi 0–1
L. Bender
Santiago García 🟨
39′
43′
🟨 Karim Bellarabi
Half-time 0–1
L. Zander 🔁
↦ F. Kroos
56′
M. Hilßner 🔁
↦ L. Öztunali
56′
58′
J. Brandt 0–2
59′
🔁 K. Kampl
↦ K. Bellarabi
65′
K. Kampl 0–3
72′
🔁 H. Çalhanoğlu
↦ J. Brandt
76′
🔁 J. Hernández
↦ A. Mehmedi
83′
🟨 Giulio Donati
J. Sternberg 🔁
↦ S. García
84′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

42 F. Wiedwald G
5 A. Lukimya D
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
2 S. García D
7 J. Vestergaard D
8 C. Fritz M
16 Z. Junuzović M
18 F. Kroos M
11 L. Öztunali F
14 C. Pizarro F
21 A. Ujah F
Bench (7)
19 L. Zander
33 M. Hilßner
37 J. Sternberg
39 L. Fröde
27 F. Grillitsch
4 Gálvez
30 M. Zetterer

Leverkusen

1 B. Leno G
17 S. Boenisch
5 K. Papadopoulos D
26 G. Donati D
4 J. Tah D
8 L. Bender M
38 K. Bellarabi M
23 C. Kramer M
19 J. Brandt M
11 S. Kießling F
14 A. Mehmedi M
Bench (7)
44 K. Kampl
10 H. Çalhanoğlu
7 J. Hernández
18 Wendell
25 D. Kresic
37 M. Frey
2 André Ramalho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Wolfgang Stark · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
13,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.