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Bundesliga
Referee: Felix Zwayer
Ein Frankfurt
U S S T S
2–1
Full-time
RB Leipzig
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt RB Leipzig
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 48%
45%
50%
Points per game
1,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
55%
55%
Both score Ø 62%
64%
59%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

44% Possession 56%
13 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 5
4 Offside 5
18 Free kicks against 13
6 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 6. · RB Leipzig 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 23 19 2 2 +37 59
2 Dortmund 23 11 7 5 +19 40
3 Leverkusen 23 10 8 5 +13 38
4 RB Leipzig 22 11 5 6 +6 38
5 Schalke 04 23 10 7 6 +6 37
6 Ein Frankfurt 22 10 6 6 +5 36
7 Hannover 23 8 8 7 -1 32
8 Augsburg 23 8 7 8 +3 31
9 Hoffenheim 23 8 7 8 +0 31
10 M'gladbach 23 9 4 10 -5 31
11 Hertha 23 7 9 7 +0 30
12 Freiburg 23 6 10 7 -13 28
13 Stuttgart 23 8 3 12 -8 27
14 Wolfsburg 23 4 12 7 -4 24
15 Werder Bremen 23 5 8 10 -7 23
16 Mainz 23 6 5 12 -13 23
17 Hamburg 23 4 5 14 -16 17
18 FC Koln 23 3 5 15 -22 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt RB Leipzig
13′
J. Augustin 0–1
K. Laimer
1–1 T. Chandler
D. Abraham
22′
2–1 K. Boateng
A. Rebić
26′
Ante Rebić 🟨
33′
Marius Wolf 🟨
38′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 Y. Poulsen
↦ D. Demme
Makoto Hasebe 🟨
47′
51′
🟨 Willi Orbán
61′
🔁 E. Forsberg
↦ N. Keïta
Timothy Chandler 🟨
64′
Kevin-Prince Boateng 🟨
65′
G. Fernandes 🔁
↦ K. Boateng
68′
Simon Falette 🟨
75′
76′
🔁 T. Werner
↦ A. Lookman
L. Jović 🔁
↦ A. Rebić
80′
81′
🟨 Lukas Klostermann
M. Gaćinović 🔁
↦ M. Wolf
83′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

3-4-1-2
1 L. Hradecky G
19 D. Abraham D
22 T. Chandler M
3 S. Falette D
24 D. da Costa M
13 C. Salcedo D
17 K. Boateng M
20 M. Hasebe D
9 S. Haller F
4 A. Rebić F
27 M. Wolf M
Bench (7)
5 G. Fernandes
8 L. Jović
11 M. Gaćinović
15 J. Willems
23 M. Russ
28 A. Barkok
37 J. Zimmermann

Coach: N. Kovač

RB Leipzig

4-3-3
32 P. Gulácsi G
4 W. Orban D
16 L. Klostermann D
5 D. Upamecano D
13 S. Ilsanker M
31 D. Demme M
7 M. Sabitzer M
27 K. Laimer D
8 N. Keïta M
29 J. Augustin F
18 A. Lookman F
Bench (7)
9 Y. Poulsen
10 E. Forsberg
11 T. Werner
3 Bernardo
6 I. Konaté
24 D. Kaiser
28 Y. Mvogo

Coach: R. Hasenhüttl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Felix Zwayer · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.