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Bundesliga
Referee: Felix Zwayer
Ein Frankfurt
U S S T S
2–1
Full-time
RB Leipzig
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt RB Leipzig
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 48%
45%
50%
Points per game
1,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
55%
55%
Both score Ø 62%
64%
59%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

44% Possession 56%
13 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 5
4 Offside 5
18 Free kicks against 13
6 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 6. · RB Leipzig 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 23 19 2 2 +37 59
2 Dortmund 23 11 7 5 +19 40
3 Leverkusen 23 10 8 5 +13 38
4 RB Leipzig 22 11 5 6 +6 38
5 Schalke 04 23 10 7 6 +6 37
6 Ein Frankfurt 22 10 6 6 +5 36
7 Hannover 23 8 8 7 -1 32
8 Augsburg 23 8 7 8 +3 31
9 Hoffenheim 23 8 7 8 +0 31
10 M'gladbach 23 9 4 10 -5 31
11 Hertha 23 7 9 7 +0 30
12 Freiburg 23 6 10 7 -13 28
13 Stuttgart 23 8 3 12 -8 27
14 Wolfsburg 23 4 12 7 -4 24
15 Werder Bremen 23 5 8 10 -7 23
16 Mainz 23 6 5 12 -13 23
17 Hamburg 23 4 5 14 -16 17
18 FC Koln 23 3 5 15 -22 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt RB Leipzig
13′
⚽ J. Augustin 0–1
K. Laimer
1–1 T. Chandler ⚽
D. Abraham
22′
2–1 K. Boateng ⚽
A. Rebić
26′
Ante Rebić 🟨
33′
Marius Wolf 🟨
38′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 Y. Poulsen
↦ D. Demme
Makoto Hasebe 🟨
47′
51′
🟨 Willi Orbán
61′
🔁 E. Forsberg
↦ N. Keïta
Timothy Chandler 🟨
64′
Kevin-Prince Boateng 🟨
65′
G. Fernandes 🔁
↦ K. Boateng
68′
Simon Falette 🟨
75′
76′
🔁 T. Werner
↦ A. Lookman
L. Jović 🔁
↦ A. Rebić
80′
81′
🟨 Lukas Klostermann
M. Gaćinović 🔁
↦ M. Wolf
83′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

3-4-1-2
1 L. Hradecky G
19 D. Abraham D
22 T. Chandler M
3 S. Falette D
24 D. da Costa M
13 C. Salcedo D
17 K. Boateng M
20 M. Hasebe D
9 S. Haller F
4 A. Rebić F
27 M. Wolf M
Bench (7)
5 G. Fernandes
8 L. Jović
11 M. Gaćinović
15 J. Willems
23 M. Russ
28 A. Barkok
37 J. Zimmermann

Coach: N. Kovač

RB Leipzig

4-3-3
32 P. Gulácsi G
4 W. Orban D
16 L. Klostermann D
5 D. Upamecano D
13 S. Ilsanker M
31 D. Demme M
7 M. Sabitzer M
27 K. Laimer D
8 N. Keïta M
29 J. Augustin F
18 A. Lookman F
Bench (7)
9 Y. Poulsen
10 E. Forsberg
11 T. Werner
3 Bernardo
6 I. Konaté
24 D. Kaiser
28 Y. Mvogo

Coach: R. Hasenhüttl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Felix Zwayer · 90 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.