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Bundesliga
Referee: Felix Brych
Ein Frankfurt
T S T T T
2–2
Full-time
RB Leipzig
S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt RB Leipzig
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,2
This season — Bundesliga · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 47%
33%
61%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
45%
64%
Both score Ø 43%
33%
52%
Average goals
2,3
3,1
Scored
1,0
1,9
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

42% Possession 58%
17 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 3
4 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 11. · RB Leipzig 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 33 24 7 2 +64 79
2 RB Leipzig 33 20 6 7 +27 66
3 Dortmund 33 17 10 6 +31 61
4 Hoffenheim 33 16 13 4 +27 61
5 Hertha 33 15 4 14 +0 49
6 Freiburg 33 14 6 13 -15 48
7 FC Koln 33 11 13 9 +7 46
8 Werder Bremen 33 13 6 14 -2 45
9 M'gladbach 33 12 8 13 -4 44
10 Schalke 04 33 11 9 13 +5 42
11 Ein Frankfurt 33 11 8 14 -7 41
12 Leverkusen 33 10 8 15 -6 38
13 Mainz 33 10 7 16 -9 37
14 Augsburg 33 9 10 14 -16 37
15 Wolfsburg 33 10 7 16 -17 37
16 Hamburg 33 9 8 16 -29 35
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 33 8 7 18 -21 31
18 Darmstadt 33 7 3 23 -35 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt RB Leipzig
25′
M. Sabitzer 0–1
B. Schmitz
Marco Fabián 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–2
56′
Y. Poulsen 0–2
E. Forsberg
Jesús Vallejo 🔁
↦ T. Tawatha
62′
66′
🔁 D. Kaiser
↦ O. Burke
A. Meier 🔁
↦ G. Varela
71′
75′
🟨 Dominik Kaiser
D. Blum 🔁
↦ B. Hrgota
77′
83′
🔁 D. Selke
↦ Y. Poulsen
1–2 Jesús Vallejo
B. Oczipka
83′
89′
🟨 Davie Selke
2–2 D. Blum
B. Oczipka
90′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

3-4-2-1
1 L. Hradecky G
19 D. Abraham D
6 B. Oczipka M
22 T. Chandler M
33 T. Tawatha D
15 M. Hector D
3 G. Varela D
10 M. Fabián M
11 M. Gaćinović M
9 H. Seferović F
31 B. Hrgota F
Bench (7)
5 Jesús Vallejo
14 A. Meier
7 D. Blum
13 H. Lindner
25 S. Medojević
28 A. Barkok
26 D. Beyreuther

Coach: N. Kovač

RB Leipzig

4-2-2-2
32 P. Gulácsi G
20 B. Schmitz D
17 D. Upamecano D
13 S. Ilsanker M
31 D. Demme M
7 M. Sabitzer M
8 N. Keïta M
3 Bernardo D
19 O. Burke F
10 E. Forsberg M
9 Y. Poulsen F
Bench (7)
24 D. Kaiser
27 D. Selke
1 F. Coltorti
6 R. Khedira
33 M. Compper
11 T. Werner
23 M. Halstenberg

Coach: R. Hasenhüttl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Felix Brych · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.