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Bundesliga
Referee: Guido Winkmann
Hannover
U T T T T
2–3
Full-time
RB Leipzig
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hannover RB Leipzig
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 37%
30%
44%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
44%
56%
Both score Ø 63%
63%
63%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%
13 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 3
4 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hannover 13. · RB Leipzig 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 27 21 3 3 +46 66
2 Schalke 04 27 14 7 6 +11 49
3 Dortmund 27 13 9 5 +21 48
4 Ein Frankfurt 27 13 6 8 +8 45
5 Leverkusen 27 12 8 7 +12 44
6 RB Leipzig 27 12 7 8 +5 43
7 Hoffenheim 27 10 9 8 +5 39
8 Stuttgart 27 11 4 12 -5 37
9 M'gladbach 27 10 6 11 -6 36
10 Augsburg 27 9 8 10 +1 35
11 Hertha 27 8 11 8 +0 35
12 Werder Bremen 27 8 9 10 -2 33
13 Hannover 27 8 8 11 -6 32
14 Freiburg 27 6 12 9 -18 30
15 Wolfsburg 27 4 13 10 -9 25
16 Mainz 27 6 7 14 -17 25
17 FC Koln 27 5 5 17 -22 20
18 Hamburg 27 4 6 17 -24 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Nov -17 RB Leipzig – Hannover 2–1

Match report

Hannover RB Leipzig
16′
E. Forsberg 0–1
T. Werner
J. Elez 🔁
↦ W. Anton
18′
Half-time 0–1
I. Bebou 🔁
↦ J. Korb
46′
51′
🟨 Diego Demme
53′
W. Orban 0–2
N. Keïta
60′
🔁 M. Sabitzer
↦ Bruma
N. Füllkrug 🔁
↦ Jonathas
63′
Oliver Sorg 🟨
67′
69′
🔁 Y. Poulsen
↦ J. Augustin
70′
🟨 Naby Keïta
1–2 S. Sané
P. Schwegler
71′
76′
Y. Poulsen 1–3
T. Werner
2–3 N. Füllkrug
O. Sorg
78′
81′
🔁 D. Upamecano
↦ E. Forsberg
Salif Sané 🟨
84′
85′
🟨 Dayot Upamecano
86′
🟨 Marcel Sabitzer
Pirmin Schwegler 🟨
87′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Hannover

3-1-4-2
1 P. Tschauner G
25 O. Sorg D
22 M. Ostrzolek M
4 J. Korb M
20 S. Sané D
31 W. Anton D
27 P. Schwegler M
6 M. Bakalorz M
11 F. Klaus M
14 M. Harnik F
9 Jonathas F
Bench (7)
2 J. Elez
13 I. Bebou
24 N. Füllkrug
3 Miiko Albornoz
18 I. Fossum
23 M. Esser
37 N. Sarenren-Bazee

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

RB Leipzig

4-2-2-2
32 P. Gulácsi G
4 W. Orban D
3 Bernardo D
6 I. Konaté D
10 E. Forsberg M
31 D. Demme M
17 Bruma M
27 K. Laimer D
8 N. Keïta M
11 T. Werner F
29 J. Augustin F
Bench (7)
7 M. Sabitzer
9 Y. Poulsen
5 D. Upamecano
16 L. Klostermann
18 A. Lookman
28 Y. Mvogo
44 K. Kampl

Coach: R. Hasenhüttl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Guido Winkmann · 50 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.