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Bundesliga
Referee: Bastian Dankert
Hannover
U S U T T
1–3
Full-time
Augsburg
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hannover Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,0
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 32%
32%
32%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
44%
52%
Both score Ø 58%
64%
52%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

60% Possession 40%
17 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hannover 11. · Augsburg 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 25 20 3 2 +41 63
2 Schalke 04 26 13 7 6 +10 46
3 Dortmund 25 11 9 5 +19 42
4 Ein Frankfurt 25 12 6 7 +6 42
5 Leverkusen 25 11 8 6 +12 41
6 RB Leipzig 25 11 6 8 +4 39
7 Hoffenheim 25 9 8 8 +2 35
8 M'gladbach 25 10 5 10 -4 35
9 Stuttgart 25 10 3 12 -6 33
10 Augsburg 25 8 8 9 +1 32
11 Hannover 25 8 8 9 -3 32
12 Hertha 25 7 10 8 -1 31
13 Freiburg 25 6 11 8 -17 29
14 Werder Bremen 25 6 9 10 -6 27
15 Wolfsburg 25 4 13 8 -5 25
16 Mainz 26 6 7 13 -14 25
17 Hamburg 25 4 6 15 -17 18
18 FC Koln 25 4 5 16 -22 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hannover Augsburg
26′
M. Gregoritsch 0–1
Caiuby
1–1 S. Sané
37′
Ihlas Bebou 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–1
P. Schwegler 🔁
↦ O. Sorg
46′
47′
G. Kačar 1–2
Niclas Füllkrug 🟨
52′
62′
🟨 Jonathan Schmid
Jonathas 🔁
↦ M. Harnik
64′
71′
🔁 M. Heller
↦ M. Richter
73′
🔁 C. Janker
↦ J. Schmid
80′
🟨 Martin Hinteregger
83′
M. Gregoritsch 1–3
P. Max
K. Karaman 🔁
↦ Felipe
84′
90′
🔁 S. Córdova
↦ D. Baier
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Hannover

4-4-2
1 P. Tschauner G
5 Felipe D
3 Miiko Albornoz D
25 O. Sorg D
20 S. Sané D
31 W. Anton D
11 F. Klaus M
18 I. Fossum M
14 M. Harnik F
24 N. Füllkrug F
13 I. Bebou M
Bench (7)
27 P. Schwegler
9 Jonathas
26 K. Karaman
6 M. Bakalorz
23 M. Esser
22 M. Ostrzolek
4 J. Korb

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Augsburg

4-2-3-1
35 M. Hitz G
36 M. Hinteregger D
31 P. Max D
10 D. Baier M
30 Caiuby M
20 G. Kačar M
17 J. Schmid M
19 Koo Ja-Cheol M
11 M. Gregoritsch M
8 R. Khedira M
23 M. Richter M
Bench (7)
7 M. Heller
16 C. Janker
21 S. Córdova
25 K. Jakob
1 A. Luthe
15 E. Bekiroglu
9 S. Parker

Coach: M. Baum

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bastian Dankert · 75 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.