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Bundesliga
Referee: Patrick Ittrich
Hertha
S T T S T
1–1
Full-time
Bayern Munich
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,3
This season — Bundesliga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 63%
50%
75%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
45%
55%
Both score Ø 45%
40%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,4
2,3
Conceded
1,2
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

29% Possession 71%
11 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
3 Offside 4
19 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 6. · Bayern Munich 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 20 15 4 1 +33 49
2 RB Leipzig 20 13 3 4 +16 42
3 Ein Frankfurt 20 10 5 5 +7 35
4 Dortmund 20 9 7 4 +17 34
5 Hoffenheim 20 8 10 2 +15 34
6 Hertha 20 10 3 7 +4 33
7 FC Koln 20 8 8 4 +11 32
8 Leverkusen 21 9 3 9 +4 30
9 Freiburg 20 9 2 9 -8 29
10 M'gladbach 20 7 5 8 -5 26
11 Schalke 04 20 7 4 9 +3 25
12 Mainz 20 7 4 9 -6 25
13 Augsburg 21 6 6 9 -8 24
14 Wolfsburg 20 6 4 10 -9 22
15 Hamburg 20 5 4 11 -16 19
16 Werder Bremen 20 4 4 12 -18 16
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 20 4 3 13 -15 15
18 Darmstadt 20 3 3 14 -25 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Bayern Munich
1–0 V. Ibišević
M. Plattenhardt
21′
Half-time 1–0
61′
🔁 R. Lewandowski
↦ A. Vidal
61′
🔁 Xabi Alonso
↦ J. Kimmich
64′
🟨 Mats Hummels
66′
🟨 Robert Lewandowski
68′
🟨 Xabi Alonso
77′
🔁 K. Coman
↦ Juan Bernat
A. Esswein 🔁
↦ V. Ibišević
87′
Rune Jarstein 🟨
90′
Peter Pekarík 🟨
90′
M. Mittelstädt 🔁
↦ S. Kalou
92′
F. Lustenberger 🔁
↦ G. Haraguchi
94′
96′
R. Lewandowski 1–1
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hertha

4-1-4-1
22 R. Jarstein G
15 S. Langkamp D
2 P. Pekarík D
21 M. Plattenhardt D
25 J. Brooks D
5 N. Stark D
3 P. Skjelbred M
24 G. Haraguchi M
6 V. Darida M
19 V. Ibišević F
8 S. Kalou M
Bench (7)
7 A. Esswein
28 F. Lustenberger
34 M. Mittelstädt
1 T. Kraft
11 S. Allagui
14 V. Stocker
40 J. Torunarigha

Coach: P. Dárdai

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
21 P. Lahm D
5 M. Hummels D
27 D. Alaba D
10 A. Robben M
23 A. Vidal M
11 Douglas Costa M
6 Thiago Alcântara M
18 Juan Bernat D
32 J. Kimmich D
25 T. Müller M
Bench (7)
9 R. Lewandowski
14 Xabi Alonso
29 K. Coman
8 Javi Martínez
13 Rafinha
26 S. Ulreich
35 Renato Sanches

Coach: C. Ancelotti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Patrick Ittrich · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.