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La Liga
Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez
Getafe
T T T
1–0
Full-time
Malaga
U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Getafe Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
2,7
0,3
Scored
0,7
0,0
Conceded
2,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
2,7
0,3
Scored
0,7
0,0
Conceded
2,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
10 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 7
0 Offside 7
0 Free kicks against 0
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Getafe 20. · Malaga 15. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 3 3 0 0 +3 9
2 Real Madrid 3 2 1 0 +11 7
3 Celta 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Villarreal 3 2 1 0 +4 7
5 Eibar 3 2 1 0 +4 7
6 Ath Madrid 3 2 0 1 +3 6
7 La Coruna 3 1 2 0 +2 5
8 Valencia 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Betis 3 1 1 1 -4 4
10 Ath Bilbao 3 1 0 2 -1 3
11 Granada 3 1 0 2 -3 3
12 Espanol 3 1 0 2 -7 3
13 Las Palmas 3 0 2 1 -1 2
14 Levante 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Malaga 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Sociedad 3 0 2 1 -1 2
17 Sp Gijon 3 0 2 1 -1 2
18 Sevilla 3 0 2 1 -3 2
19 Vallecano 3 0 1 2 -5 1
20 Getafe 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Getafe Malaga
1–0 S. Šćepović ⚽
Víctor Rodríguez
2′
Emiliano Velazquez 🟨
33′
35′
🟨 Nordin Amrabat
Álvaro Medrán 🟨
36′
40′
🟨 Fernando Tissone
Roberto Lago 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 D. Čop
↦ N. Amrabat
58′
🔁 A. Tighadouini
↦ Ricardo Horta
S. Vergini 🔁
↦ Roberto Lago
67′
Pedro León 🔁
↦ Wamberto
67′
Mehdi Lacen 🟨
81′
82′
🔁 Juan Carlos
↦ A. Boka
B. Mensah 🔁
↦ Lafita
88′
Víctor Rodríguez 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Getafe

13 Guaita G
2 Alexis D
19 D. Suárez D
3 Roberto Lago D
4 E. Velázquez D
7 Lafita M
8 M. Lacen M
23 Álvaro Medrán M
12 S. Šćepović F
18 Víctor Rodríguez M
30 Wamberto F
Bench (7)
5 S. Vergini
14 Pedro León
17 B. Mensah
1 B. Megyeri
9 Álvaro Vázquez
21 Moi Gómez
22 Juan Rodríguez

Malaga

1 C. Kameni
19 A. Boka D
18 R. Rosales D
15 M. Angeleri D
2 Albentosa D
12 F. Tissone M
17 Duda M
14 Recio M
11 N. Amrabat M
9 Charles F
10 Ricardo Horta M
Bench (7)
20 D. Čop
22 A. Tighadouini
7 Juan Carlos
13 G. Ochoa
21 E. Filipenko
23 Miguel Torres
28 J. Añor

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.