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La Liga
Referee: Pedro Jesus Perez Montero
Ath Bilbao
T T
3–1
Full-time
Getafe
T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Getafe
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,0
Scored
0,0
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,0
This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,0
Scored
0,0
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

54% Possession 46%
14 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
12 Corners 5
8 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Bilbao 20. · Getafe 19. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 3 3 0 0 +3 9
2 Real Madrid 3 2 1 0 +11 7
3 Villarreal 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Celta 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Eibar 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Ath Madrid 3 2 0 1 +3 6
7 Valencia 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Betis 3 1 1 1 -4 4
9 Granada 3 1 0 2 -3 3
10 Espanol 3 1 0 2 -7 3
11 La Coruna 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Levante 3 0 2 1 -1 2
13 Sociedad 3 0 2 1 -1 2
14 Sp Gijon 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Sevilla 3 0 2 1 -3 2
16 Malaga 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Las Palmas 2 0 1 1 -1 1
18 Vallecano 2 0 1 1 -3 1
19 Getafe 2 0 0 2 -2 0
20 Ath Bilbao 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Bilbao Getafe
1–0 Aduriz ⚽
Beñat
6′
2–0 Raúl García ⚽
Susaeta
24′
Half-time 2–0
48′
🟨 Angel Lafita
63′
🔁 Álvaro Medrán
↦ Pedro León
63′
🔁 Wamberto
↦ Juan Rodríguez
Ibai 🔁
↦ Ager Aketxe
68′
70′
⚽ E. Velázquez 2–1
Álvaro Medrán
Mikel San José 🟨
72′
77′
🟨 Roberto Lago
Eraso 🔁
↦ Raúl García
79′
82′
🔁 Álvaro Vázquez
↦ Víctor Rodríguez
83′
🟨 Alexis Ruano
83′
🟨 Emiliano Velazquez
3–1 Aduriz ⚽
Eraso
83′
Mikel Rico 🔁
↦ Beñat
88′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

1 Iraizoz G
6 San José M
16 Etxeita D
30 Lekue D
18 Gurpegi M
22 Raúl García M
14 Susaeta M
7 Beñat M
10 De Marcos D
23 Ager Aketxe M
20 Aduriz F
Bench (7)
11 Ibai
5 Eraso
17 Mikel Rico
4 A. Laporte
9 Kike Sola
13 Iago Herrerín
24 Balenziaga

Getafe

13 Guaita G
2 Alexis D
3 Roberto Lago D
4 E. Velázquez D
15 Carlos Vigaray D
22 Juan Rodríguez M
7 Lafita M
14 Pedro León M
8 M. Lacen M
12 S. Šćepović F
18 Víctor Rodríguez M
Bench (7)
23 Álvaro Medrán
30 Wamberto
9 Álvaro Vázquez
1 B. Megyeri
5 S. Vergini
17 B. Mensah
21 Moi Gómez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Pedro Jesus Perez Montero · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
1,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.