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La Liga

Referee: Carlos Del Cerro Grande

Granada

U U U U T

2–0

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Granada Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,2

2,2

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,3

This season — La Liga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 27%

45%

Points per game

0,6

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

55%

73%

Both score Ø 69%

73%

64%

Average goals

2,8

2,9

Scored

1,0

1,6

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

33% Possession 67%

8 Shots 11

1 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 7

2 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

6 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Granada 20. · Ath Bilbao 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	12	10	0	2	+17	30
2	Real Madrid	12	7	3	2	+15	24
3	Ath Madrid	11	7	2	2	+10	23
4	Villarreal	12	6	3	3	+4	21
5	Celta	12	6	3	3	+2	21
6	Eibar	12	5	5	2	+5	20
7	Valencia	12	5	4	3	+8	19
8	La Coruna	12	4	6	2	+5	18
9	Ath Bilbao	11	5	2	4	+4	17
10	Espanol	12	5	1	6	-9	16
11	Sevilla	12	4	3	5	-1	15
12	Betis	11	4	3	4	-5	15
13	Vallecano	11	4	1	6	-6	13
14	Sociedad	12	3	3	6	+0	12
15	Sp Gijon	12	3	3	6	-7	12
16	Getafe	11	3	1	7	-7	10
17	Las Palmas	12	2	4	6	-7	10
18	Levante	12	2	4	6	-13	10
19	Malaga	12	2	3	7	-6	9
20	Granada	11	1	4	6	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	6	0	0	+13	18
2	Real Madrid	6	4	1	1	+7	13
3	Villarreal	6	4	1	1	+5	13
4	Ath Madrid	6	4	1	1	+4	13
5	Valencia	6	3	3	0	+7	12
6	Ath Bilbao	6	4	0	2	+6	12
7	Sevilla	6	4	0	2	+4	12
8	Eibar	6	3	2	1	+3	11
9	Vallecano	6	3	1	2	+1	10
10	Espanol	6	3	1	2	-3	10
11	Getafe	5	3	0	2	+5	9
12	La Coruna	6	2	3	1	+4	9
13	Malaga	6	2	2	2	+2	8
14	Las Palmas	6	2	2	2	+1	8
15	Celta	6	2	2	2	+0	8
16	Levante	6	1	3	2	-4	6
17	Sociedad	6	1	2	3	-2	5
18	Sp Gijon	6	1	2	3	-4	5
19	Betis	5	1	1	3	-4	4
20	Granada	5	0	2	3	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celta	6	4	1	1	+2	13
2	Barcelona	6	4	0	2	+4	12
3	Real Madrid	6	3	2	1	+8	11
4	Betis	6	3	2	1	-1	11
5	Ath Madrid	5	3	1	1	+6	10
6	Eibar	6	2	3	1	+2	9
7	La Coruna	6	2	3	1	+1	9
8	Villarreal	6	2	2	2	-1	8
9	Sociedad	6	2	1	3	+2	7
10	Valencia	6	2	1	3	+1	7
11	Sp Gijon	6	2	1	3	-3	7
12	Espanol	6	2	0	4	-6	6
13	Granada	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Ath Bilbao	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Levante	6	1	1	4	-9	4
16	Sevilla	6	0	3	3	-5	3
17	Vallecano	5	1	0	4	-7	3
18	Las Palmas	6	0	2	4	-8	2
19	Malaga	6	0	1	5	-8	1
20	Getafe	6	0	1	5	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.