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La Liga

Referee: Eduardo Prieto Iglesias

Villarreal

T T U S T

1–1

Full-time

Eibar

S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Eibar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,5

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

This season — La Liga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 50%

55%

45%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

55%

36%

Both score Ø 55%

55%

Average goals

2,4

2,5

Scored

1,4

1,5

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%

12 Shots 17

5 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 6

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

12 Corners 6

2 Offside 3

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Villarreal 5. · Eibar 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	12	10	0	2	+17	30
2	Real Madrid	12	7	3	2	+15	24
3	Ath Madrid	11	7	2	2	+10	23
4	Celta	12	6	3	3	+2	21
5	Villarreal	11	6	2	3	+4	20
6	Valencia	12	5	4	3	+8	19
7	Eibar	11	5	4	2	+5	19
8	La Coruna	12	4	6	2	+5	18
9	Ath Bilbao	11	5	2	4	+4	17
10	Espanol	12	5	1	6	-9	16
11	Sevilla	12	4	3	5	-1	15
12	Betis	11	4	3	4	-5	15
13	Vallecano	11	4	1	6	-6	13
14	Sociedad	12	3	3	6	+0	12
15	Sp Gijon	12	3	3	6	-7	12
16	Getafe	11	3	1	7	-7	10
17	Las Palmas	12	2	4	6	-7	10
18	Levante	12	2	4	6	-13	10
19	Malaga	12	2	3	7	-6	9
20	Granada	11	1	4	6	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	6	0	0	+13	18
2	Real Madrid	6	4	1	1	+7	13
3	Ath Madrid	6	4	1	1	+4	13
4	Valencia	6	3	3	0	+7	12
5	Ath Bilbao	6	4	0	2	+6	12
6	Villarreal	5	4	0	1	+5	12
7	Sevilla	6	4	0	2	+4	12
8	Eibar	6	3	2	1	+3	11
9	Vallecano	6	3	1	2	+1	10
10	Espanol	6	3	1	2	-3	10
11	Getafe	5	3	0	2	+5	9
12	La Coruna	6	2	3	1	+4	9
13	Malaga	6	2	2	2	+2	8
14	Las Palmas	6	2	2	2	+1	8
15	Celta	6	2	2	2	+0	8
16	Levante	6	1	3	2	-4	6
17	Sociedad	6	1	2	3	-2	5
18	Sp Gijon	6	1	2	3	-4	5
19	Betis	5	1	1	3	-4	4
20	Granada	5	0	2	3	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celta	6	4	1	1	+2	13
2	Barcelona	6	4	0	2	+4	12
3	Real Madrid	6	3	2	1	+8	11
4	Betis	6	3	2	1	-1	11
5	Ath Madrid	5	3	1	1	+6	10
6	La Coruna	6	2	3	1	+1	9
7	Eibar	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Villarreal	6	2	2	2	-1	8
9	Sociedad	6	2	1	3	+2	7
10	Valencia	6	2	1	3	+1	7
11	Sp Gijon	6	2	1	3	-3	7
12	Espanol	6	2	0	4	-6	6
13	Granada	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Ath Bilbao	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Levante	6	1	1	4	-9	4
16	Sevilla	6	0	3	3	-5	3
17	Vallecano	5	1	0	4	-7	3
18	Las Palmas	6	0	2	4	-8	2
19	Malaga	6	0	1	5	-8	1
20	Getafe	6	0	1	5	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.