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Championship

Referee: Simon Hooper

Burnley

U S S S U

1–1

Full-time

Brighton

S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burnley Brighton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,0

2,2

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,5

This season — Championship · 16/15 matches

Win Ø 58%

56%

60%

Points per game

2,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

50%

47%

Both score Ø 65%

63%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,4

Conceded

0,9

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

41% Possession 59%

11 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 5

0 Offside 3

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Burnley 5. · Brighton 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hull	17	10	5	2	+18	35
2	Middlesbrough	17	10	3	4	+13	33
3	Derby	17	9	6	2	+13	33
4	Brighton	15	9	6	0	+9	33
5	Burnley	16	9	5	2	+9	32
6	Birmingham	17	8	4	5	+6	28
7	Reading	17	7	6	4	+7	27
8	Sheffield Weds	16	7	5	4	+3	26
9	Cardiff	17	6	7	4	+3	25
10	Ipswich	17	6	7	4	+0	25
11	Brentford	17	7	3	7	-1	24
12	Fulham	17	5	6	6	+1	21
13	Blackburn	17	4	8	5	+1	20
14	Wolves	17	5	5	7	-1	20
15	QPR	17	5	5	7	-3	20
16	Leeds	17	4	7	6	-4	19
17	Preston	17	3	8	6	-3	17
18	Nott'm Forest	17	4	5	8	-5	17
19	Bristol City	17	3	7	7	-9	16
20	Charlton	17	4	4	9	-11	16
21	Huddersfield	17	3	6	8	-9	15
22	Milton Keynes Dons	17	4	3	10	-9	15
23	Rotherham	17	3	3	11	-15	12
24	Bolton	17	1	8	8	-13	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Middlesbrough	9	7	1	1	+14	22
2	Hull	8	6	2	0	+13	20
3	Brighton	8	6	2	0	+6	20
4	Burnley	8	6	1	1	+8	19
5	Derby	9	5	3	1	+9	18
6	Sheffield Weds	8	5	2	1	+6	17
7	Cardiff	8	5	2	1	+6	17
8	Reading	9	4	4	1	+7	16
9	Ipswich	9	3	5	1	+4	14
10	QPR	8	3	4	1	+5	13
11	Brentford	9	4	1	4	-3	13
12	Fulham	8	3	2	3	+0	11
13	Charlton	8	3	2	3	-2	11
14	Birmingham	9	3	2	4	-2	11
15	Blackburn	8	2	4	2	+3	10
16	Milton Keynes Dons	9	3	1	5	-3	10
17	Huddersfield	8	2	3	3	+0	9
18	Bolton	8	1	6	1	+0	9
19	Wolves	8	2	3	3	-1	9
20	Nott'm Forest	8	2	3	3	-1	9
21	Bristol City	9	2	3	4	-5	9
22	Preston	9	1	5	3	-2	8
23	Leeds	9	1	3	5	-6	6
24	Rotherham	8	1	2	5	-9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Birmingham	8	5	2	1	+8	17
2	Hull	9	4	3	2	+5	15
3	Derby	8	4	3	1	+4	15
4	Brighton	7	3	4	0	+3	13
5	Leeds	8	3	4	1	+2	13
6	Burnley	8	3	4	1	+1	13
7	Brentford	8	3	2	3	+2	11
8	Wolves	9	3	2	4	+0	11
9	Reading	8	3	2	3	+0	11
10	Middlesbrough	8	3	2	3	-1	11
11	Ipswich	8	3	2	3	-4	11
12	Fulham	9	2	4	3	+1	10
13	Blackburn	9	2	4	3	-2	10
14	Preston	8	2	3	3	-1	9
15	Sheffield Weds	8	2	3	3	-3	9
16	Cardiff	9	1	5	3	-3	8
17	Nott'm Forest	9	2	2	5	-4	8
18	Bristol City	8	1	4	3	-4	7
19	Rotherham	9	2	1	6	-6	7
20	QPR	9	2	1	6	-8	7
21	Huddersfield	9	1	3	5	-9	6
22	Milton Keynes Dons	8	1	2	5	-6	5
23	Charlton	9	1	2	6	-9	5
24	Bolton	9	0	2	7	-13	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.