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La Liga

Referee: Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez

Real Madrid

T S S T S

3–1

Full-time

Sociedad

S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Sociedad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

4,8

2,5

Scored

3,0

0,8

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,8

This season — La Liga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 44%

63%

25%

Points per game

2,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

63%

44%

Both score Ø 38%

44%

31%

Average goals

3,6

2,4

Scored

2,6

1,1

Conceded

0,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

23 Shots 13

13 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 10

13 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 3. · Sociedad 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	15	11	2	2	+21	35
2	Ath Madrid	16	11	2	3	+14	35
3	Real Madrid	16	10	3	3	+27	33
4	Celta	16	9	4	3	+6	31
5	Villarreal	16	9	3	4	+6	30
6	La Coruna	16	6	8	2	+9	26
7	Ath Bilbao	16	7	3	6	+6	24
8	Sevilla	16	6	5	5	+2	23
9	Valencia	16	5	7	4	+7	22
10	Eibar	16	5	6	5	+0	21
11	Betis	16	5	5	6	-6	20
12	Espanol	16	6	2	8	-10	20
13	Malaga	16	4	5	7	-4	17
14	Sociedad	16	4	4	8	-5	16
15	Getafe	16	4	4	8	-8	16
16	Sp Gijon	15	4	3	8	-8	15
17	Granada	16	3	5	8	-10	14
18	Vallecano	16	4	2	10	-19	14
19	Las Palmas	16	3	4	9	-11	13
20	Levante	16	2	5	9	-17	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	8	7	1	0	+17	22
2	Real Madrid	8	6	1	1	+18	19
3	Villarreal	8	6	1	1	+7	19
4	Ath Madrid	8	6	1	1	+6	19
5	Sevilla	8	6	0	2	+7	18
6	Ath Bilbao	8	5	1	2	+8	16
7	Getafe	8	4	2	2	+7	14
8	Valencia	8	3	5	0	+7	14
9	Celta	8	4	2	2	+2	14
10	Espanol	8	4	2	2	-2	14
11	La Coruna	8	3	4	1	+6	13
12	Malaga	8	3	3	2	+3	12
13	Eibar	8	3	3	2	+1	12
14	Las Palmas	8	3	2	3	+0	11
15	Vallecano	8	3	1	4	-3	10
16	Sp Gijon	7	2	2	3	-2	8
17	Sociedad	8	2	2	4	-3	8
18	Betis	8	1	3	4	-5	6
19	Levante	8	1	3	4	-6	6
20	Granada	8	1	2	5	-9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celta	8	5	2	1	+4	17
2	Ath Madrid	8	5	1	2	+8	16
3	Real Madrid	8	4	2	2	+9	14
4	Betis	8	4	2	2	-1	14
5	Barcelona	7	4	1	2	+4	13
6	La Coruna	8	3	4	1	+3	13
7	Villarreal	8	3	2	3	-1	11
8	Granada	8	2	3	3	-1	9
9	Eibar	8	2	3	3	-1	9
10	Valencia	8	2	2	4	+0	8
11	Ath Bilbao	8	2	2	4	-2	8
12	Sociedad	8	2	2	4	-2	8
13	Sp Gijon	8	2	1	5	-6	7
14	Espanol	8	2	0	6	-8	6
15	Sevilla	8	0	5	3	-5	5
16	Malaga	8	1	2	5	-7	5
17	Levante	8	1	2	5	-11	5
18	Vallecano	8	1	1	6	-16	4
19	Las Palmas	8	0	2	6	-11	2
20	Getafe	8	0	2	6	-15	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.