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La Liga

Referee: Pedro Jesus Perez Montero

Celta

T S U S S

0–1

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

This season — La Liga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 50%

56%

44%

Points per game

1,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

63%

Both score Ø 60%

69%

50%

Average goals

3,1

2,6

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,4

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%

7 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celta 4. · Ath Bilbao 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	17	12	2	3	+16	38
2	Real Madrid	17	11	3	3	+29	36
3	Barcelona	15	11	2	2	+21	35
4	Celta	16	9	4	3	+6	31
5	Villarreal	16	9	3	4	+6	30
6	La Coruna	16	6	8	2	+9	26
7	Sevilla	17	7	5	5	+4	26
8	Ath Bilbao	16	7	3	6	+6	24
9	Eibar	17	6	6	5	+2	24
10	Valencia	16	5	7	4	+7	22
11	Malaga	17	5	5	7	-3	20
12	Betis	16	5	5	6	-6	20
13	Espanol	17	6	2	9	-12	20
14	Sociedad	17	4	4	9	-7	16
15	Getafe	16	4	4	8	-8	16
16	Sp Gijon	16	4	3	9	-10	15
17	Granada	16	3	5	8	-10	14
18	Vallecano	17	4	2	11	-21	14
19	Las Palmas	16	3	4	9	-11	13
20	Levante	17	2	5	10	-18	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	9	7	1	1	+20	22
2	Barcelona	8	7	1	0	+17	22
3	Sevilla	9	7	0	2	+9	21
4	Villarreal	8	6	1	1	+7	19
5	Ath Madrid	8	6	1	1	+6	19
6	Ath Bilbao	8	5	1	2	+8	16
7	Eibar	9	4	3	2	+3	15
8	Getafe	8	4	2	2	+7	14
9	Valencia	8	3	5	0	+7	14
10	Celta	8	4	2	2	+2	14
11	Espanol	8	4	2	2	-2	14
12	La Coruna	8	3	4	1	+6	13
13	Malaga	8	3	3	2	+3	12
14	Las Palmas	8	3	2	3	+0	11
15	Vallecano	9	3	1	5	-5	10
16	Sp Gijon	7	2	2	3	-2	8
17	Sociedad	8	2	2	4	-3	8
18	Betis	8	1	3	4	-5	6
19	Levante	9	1	3	5	-7	6
20	Granada	8	1	2	5	-9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	9	6	1	2	+10	19
2	Celta	8	5	2	1	+4	17
3	Real Madrid	8	4	2	2	+9	14
4	Betis	8	4	2	2	-1	14
5	Barcelona	7	4	1	2	+4	13
6	La Coruna	8	3	4	1	+3	13
7	Villarreal	8	3	2	3	-1	11
8	Granada	8	2	3	3	-1	9
9	Eibar	8	2	3	3	-1	9
10	Valencia	8	2	2	4	+0	8
11	Ath Bilbao	8	2	2	4	-2	8
12	Sociedad	9	2	2	5	-4	8
13	Malaga	9	2	2	5	-6	8
14	Sp Gijon	9	2	1	6	-8	7
15	Espanol	9	2	0	7	-10	6
16	Sevilla	8	0	5	3	-5	5
17	Levante	8	1	2	5	-11	5
18	Vallecano	8	1	1	6	-16	4
19	Las Palmas	8	0	2	6	-11	2
20	Getafe	8	0	2	6	-15	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.