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La Liga
Referee: Santiago Jaime Latre
Las Palmas
U T T S T
4–1
Full-time
Granada
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Granada
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 19%
19%
19%
Points per game
0,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
31%
50%
Both score Ø 47%
31%
63%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
7 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 5
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Las Palmas 19. · Granada 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 16 12 2 2 +25 38
2 Ath Madrid 17 12 2 3 +16 38
3 Real Madrid 17 11 3 3 +29 36
4 Celta 17 9 4 4 +5 31
5 Villarreal 16 9 3 4 +6 30
6 La Coruna 17 6 9 2 +9 27
7 Ath Bilbao 17 8 3 6 +7 27
8 Sevilla 17 7 5 5 +4 26
9 Eibar 17 6 6 5 +2 24
10 Valencia 16 5 7 4 +7 22
11 Malaga 17 5 5 7 -3 20
12 Betis 17 5 5 7 -10 20
13 Espanol 17 6 2 9 -12 20
14 Getafe 17 4 5 8 -8 17
15 Sociedad 17 4 4 9 -7 16
16 Sp Gijon 16 4 3 9 -10 15
17 Granada 16 3 5 8 -10 14
18 Vallecano 17 4 2 11 -21 14
19 Las Palmas 16 3 4 9 -11 13
20 Levante 17 2 5 10 -18 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Las Palmas Granada
David García 🔁
↦ Hernán
27′
1–0 Tana
Jonathan Viera
32′
S. Araújo 🔁
↦ Willian José
38′
41′
🟨 Adalberto Peñaranda
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Rubén Rochina
↦ N. López
2–0 S. Araújo
Jonathan Viera
50′
56′
A. Peñaranda 2–1
Rubén Rochina
57′
🔁 Y. El-Arabi
↦ Fran Rico
Roque Mesa 🟨
63′
63′
🟨 Javi Marquez
67′
🟨 Cristiano Biraghi
76′
🔁 Robert Ibañez
↦ J. Babin
W. Mubarak 🔁
↦ Tana
77′
78′
🟨 Robert Ibáñez
80′
🟨 Rubén Pérez
3–1 Jonathan Viera
80′
85′
🟨 Ruben Rochina
86′
🟨 Cristiano Biraghi
86′
🟥 Cristiano Biraghi
Mubarak Wakaso 🟨
87′
3–2 Lombán
own goal
92′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Las Palmas

13 Javi Varas
22 Javier Garrido
23 Dani Castellano D
2 David Simón D
25 N. El Zhar M
4 Vicente Gómez M
14 Hernán M
15 Roque Mesa M
8 Willian José F
20 Jonathan Viera M
24 Tana M
Bench (7)
5 David García
10 S. Araújo
12 W. Mubarak
1 Raúl Lizoáin
7 Nauzet Alemán
19 E. Culio
21 Valerón

Granada

13 Andrés Fernández G
2 Lombán D
6 J. Babin D
3 C. Biraghi D
22 D. Foulquier D
4 Fran Rico M
8 Javi Márquez M
20 Rubén Pérez M
17 Edgar Méndez M
15 N. López F
27 A. Peñaranda F
Bench (7)
23 Rubén Rochina
9 Y. El-Arabi
7 Robert Ibañez
1 I. Kelava
5 Mainz
21 R. Krhin
25 Miguel Lopes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Santiago Jaime Latre · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.