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La Liga

Referee: Eduardo Prieto Iglesias

Sevilla

U S U S T

2–0

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,7

2,2

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

0,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,8

This season — La Liga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 42%

39%

44%

Points per game

1,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

44%

61%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,6

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

4 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 8

5 Offside 4

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sevilla 9. · Ath Bilbao 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	18	13	3	2	+29	42
2	Ath Madrid	18	13	2	3	+17	41
3	Real Madrid	18	11	4	3	+29	37
4	Villarreal	18	11	3	4	+8	36
5	Celta	18	9	4	5	+3	31
6	Ath Bilbao	18	8	4	6	+7	28
7	La Coruna	18	6	9	3	+8	27
8	Eibar	18	7	6	5	+6	27
9	Sevilla	18	7	5	6	+3	26
10	Valencia	18	5	8	5	+6	23
11	Malaga	18	6	5	7	-1	23
12	Espanol	18	6	3	9	-12	21
13	Getafe	18	5	5	8	-7	20
14	Betis	18	5	5	8	-14	20
15	Sociedad	18	4	5	9	-7	17
16	Las Palmas	18	4	5	9	-8	17
17	Granada	19	4	5	10	-16	17
18	Sp Gijon	17	4	3	10	-11	15
19	Vallecano	18	4	3	11	-21	15
20	Levante	18	2	5	11	-19	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	10	9	1	0	+25	28
2	Real Madrid	9	7	1	1	+20	22
3	Villarreal	9	7	1	1	+8	22
4	Ath Madrid	9	7	1	1	+7	22
5	Sevilla	9	7	0	2	+9	21
6	Ath Bilbao	9	5	2	2	+8	17
7	Valencia	9	3	6	0	+7	15
8	Getafe	9	4	3	2	+7	15
9	Malaga	9	4	3	2	+5	15
10	Eibar	9	4	3	2	+3	15
11	Espanol	9	4	3	2	-2	15
12	Las Palmas	9	4	2	3	+3	14
13	Celta	9	4	2	3	+1	14
14	La Coruna	9	3	4	2	+5	13
15	Vallecano	10	3	2	5	-5	11
16	Sp Gijon	8	2	2	4	-3	8
17	Sociedad	8	2	2	4	-3	8
18	Granada	9	2	2	5	-8	8
19	Levante	9	1	3	5	-7	6
20	Betis	9	1	3	5	-9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	9	6	1	2	+10	19
2	Celta	9	5	2	2	+2	17
3	Real Madrid	9	4	3	2	+9	15
4	Barcelona	8	4	2	2	+4	14
5	La Coruna	9	3	5	1	+3	14
6	Villarreal	9	4	2	3	+0	14
7	Betis	9	4	2	3	-5	14
8	Eibar	9	3	3	3	+3	12
9	Ath Bilbao	9	3	2	4	-1	11
10	Sociedad	10	2	3	5	-4	9
11	Granada	10	2	3	5	-8	9
12	Valencia	9	2	2	5	-1	8
13	Malaga	9	2	2	5	-6	8
14	Sp Gijon	9	2	1	6	-8	7
15	Espanol	9	2	0	7	-10	6
16	Sevilla	9	0	5	4	-6	5
17	Levante	9	1	2	6	-12	5
18	Getafe	9	1	2	6	-14	5
19	Vallecano	8	1	1	6	-16	4
20	Las Palmas	9	0	3	6	-11	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.