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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Hernandez
Ath Bilbao
S T S U T
2–0
Full-time
Levante
U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 27%
40%
13%
Points per game
1,4
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
67%
60%
Both score Ø 50%
53%
47%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
18 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 3
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Bilbao 9. · Levante 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 15 11 2 2 +21 35
2 Ath Madrid 15 11 2 2 +15 35
3 Real Madrid 16 10 3 3 +27 33
4 Celta 15 8 4 3 +4 28
5 Villarreal 15 8 3 4 +4 27
6 La Coruna 16 6 8 2 +9 26
7 Sevilla 16 6 5 5 +2 23
8 Valencia 16 5 7 4 +7 22
9 Ath Bilbao 15 6 3 6 +4 21
10 Eibar 16 5 6 5 +0 21
11 Betis 16 5 5 6 -6 20
12 Espanol 16 6 2 8 -10 20
13 Sociedad 15 4 4 7 -3 16
14 Getafe 16 4 4 8 -8 16
15 Sp Gijon 15 4 3 8 -8 15
16 Malaga 15 3 5 7 -5 14
17 Granada 15 3 5 7 -8 14
18 Vallecano 16 4 2 10 -19 14
19 Las Palmas 16 3 4 9 -11 13
20 Levante 15 2 5 8 -15 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Bilbao Levante
37′
🟨 Toño
39′
🟨 Simao Mate
Half-time 1–0
1–0 San José
Susaeta
55′
63′
🟨 Zouhair Feddal
69′
🔁 Verza
↦ Simão Junior
69′
🔁 José Luis Morales
↦ Xumetra
74′
🟨 Pedro López
Mikel Rico 🔁
↦ Susaeta
74′
78′
🔁 Deyverson
↦ Pedro López
2–0 Iñaki Williams
Aduriz
82′
Bóveda 🔁
↦ Raúl García
85′
Muniain 🔁
↦ Iñaki Williams
87′
90′
🟨 Jefferson Lerma
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

1 Iraizoz G
6 San José M
24 Balenziaga D
16 Etxeita D
4 A. Laporte D
22 Raúl García M
14 Susaeta M
7 Beñat M
10 De Marcos D
20 Aduriz F
15 Iñaki Williams F
Bench (7)
17 Mikel Rico
2 Bóveda
19 Muniain
5 Eraso
9 Kike Sola
13 Iago Herrerín
18 Gurpegi

Levante

25 Diego Mariño G
4 David Navarro
19 Pedro López D
3 Toño M
24 Z. Feddal D
5 Simão Junior
17 Xumetra M
10 Rubén García M
6 Víctor Camarasa M
8 J. Lerma M
23 N. Ghilas F
Bench (7)
7 Verza
11 José Luis Morales
20 Deyverson
2 Iván López
13 Rubén
14 Roger Martí
22 José Mari

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alejandro Hernandez · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.