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La Liga
Referee: Alberto Undiano
Sevilla
T U T S T
1–4
Full-time
Granada
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Granada
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 32%
39%
25%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
47%
58%
Both score Ø 59%
56%
61%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
12 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sevilla 7. · Granada 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 36 27 4 5 +75 85
2 Ath Madrid 36 27 4 5 +44 85
3 Real Madrid 36 26 6 4 +73 84
4 Villarreal 36 18 10 8 +13 64
5 Ath Bilbao 36 17 7 12 +11 58
6 Celta 36 16 9 11 -7 57
7 Sevilla 36 14 10 12 +6 52
8 Malaga 36 11 12 13 +1 45
9 Valencia 36 11 11 14 +0 44
10 Las Palmas 36 12 7 17 -5 43
11 Sociedad 36 11 9 16 -5 42
12 Eibar 36 11 9 16 -10 42
13 Betis 36 10 11 15 -19 41
14 Espanol 36 11 7 18 -31 40
15 La Coruna 36 7 18 11 -16 39
16 Granada 36 9 9 18 -23 36
17 Vallecano 36 8 11 17 -22 35
18 Sp Gijon 36 9 8 19 -24 35
19 Getafe 36 9 8 19 -29 35
20 Levante 36 7 8 21 -32 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Jan -16 Granada – Sevilla 2–1

Match report

Sevilla Granada
39′
🟨 Abdoulaye Doucouré
Curro 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–1
46′
Isaac Cuenca 0–1
Y. El-Arabi
Timothée Kolodziejczak 🟨
58′
Carlos Fernández 🔁
↦ Llorente
63′
Diego González 🔁
↦ Juan Muñoz
73′
1–1 Diego González
Sergio Escudero
73′
76′
🔁 Lombán
↦ C. Biraghi
76′
🔁 Fran Rico
↦ Rubén Pérez
Daniel Carriço 🔁
↦ N. Pareja
78′
Daniel Carriço 🟨
79′
79′
J. Babin 1–2
Isaac Cuenca
82′
🔁 R. Krhin
↦ Rubén Rochina
Diogo Figueiras 🟨
85′
86′
Y. El-Arabi 1–3
88′
Isaac Cuenca 1–4
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Sevilla

13 Beto G
21 N. Pareja
18 Sergio Escudero D
5 T. Kolodziejczak D
17 Diogo Figueiras D
8 Iborra M
22 Y. Konoplyanka F
14 S. Cristóforo M
36 Curro Sánchez M
24 Llorente F
11 Juan Muñoz F
Bench (7)
28 Carlos Fernández
34 Diego González
6 Daniel Carriço
38 Borja Lasso
23 Coke
1 Sergio Rico
19 É. Banega

Granada

13 Andrés Fernández G
24 Ricardo Costa D
18 Miguel Lopes D
6 J. Babin D
3 C. Biraghi D
20 Rubén Pérez M
19 Isaac Cuenca M
16 A. Doucouré M
9 Y. El-Arabi F
23 Rubén Rochina M
27 A. Peñaranda F
Bench (7)
2 Lombán
4 Fran Rico
21 R. Krhin
15 David Barral
7 Robert Ibañez
17 Edgar Méndez
25 Jesús Fernández

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alberto Undiano · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.