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La Liga
Referee: Santiago Jaime Latre
Sociedad
S T T U T
2–1
Full-time
Vallecano
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Vallecano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 27%
31%
22%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
47%
67%
Both score Ø 53%
42%
64%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
12 Shots 18
6 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 11
5 Offside 4
7 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 11. · Vallecano 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 36 27 4 5 +75 85
2 Ath Madrid 36 27 4 5 +44 85
3 Real Madrid 36 26 6 4 +73 84
4 Villarreal 36 18 10 8 +13 64
5 Ath Bilbao 36 17 7 12 +11 58
6 Celta 36 16 9 11 -7 57
7 Sevilla 36 14 10 12 +6 52
8 Malaga 36 11 12 13 +1 45
9 Valencia 36 11 11 14 +0 44
10 Las Palmas 36 12 7 17 -5 43
11 Sociedad 36 11 9 16 -5 42
12 Eibar 36 11 9 16 -10 42
13 Betis 36 10 11 15 -19 41
14 Espanol 36 11 7 18 -31 40
15 La Coruna 36 7 18 11 -16 39
16 Granada 36 9 9 18 -23 36
17 Vallecano 36 8 11 17 -22 35
18 Sp Gijon 36 9 8 19 -24 35
19 Getafe 36 9 8 19 -29 35
20 Levante 36 7 8 21 -32 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Jan -16 Vallecano – Sociedad 2–2

Match report

Sociedad Vallecano
1–0 Mikel Oiarzabal
12′
Xabi Prieto 🟨
28′
Half-time 1–0
Jon Bautista 🔁
↦ C. Vela
46′
46′
🔁 Javi Guerra
↦ Jozabed
2–0 Jon Bautista
Mikel Oiarzabal
50′
60′
🟨 José Ángel Crespo
64′
🔁 Manucho Gonçalves
↦ Bebé
Rubén Pardo 🔁
↦ Zurutuza
67′
69′
Javi Guerra 2–1
N. Fedor
Jon Bautista 🟨
70′
Esteban Granero 🟥
76′
Bruma 🔁
↦ Mikel Oiarzabal
77′
77′
🔁 Jonatan Caballero
↦ José Crespo
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sociedad

1 G. Rulli G
3 Mikel González D
24 De La Bella D
23 D. Reyes D
30 Aritz Elustondo D
10 Xabi Prieto M
8 Granero M
4 Illarramendi M
17 Zurutuza M
28 Mikel Oiarzabal M
11 C. Vela F
Bench (7)
35 Jon Bautista
14 Rubén Pardo
7 Bruma
19 Yuri
29 Igor Zubeldía
37 Álvaro Odriozola
13 Oier

Vallecano

13 Juan Carlos G
22 José Crespo D
2 Tito D
27 Diego Llorente D
14 Pablo Hernández M
10 Roberto Trashorras M
21 Jozabed M
17 Quini D
11 Adri Embarba M
7 N. Fedor F
23 Bebé F
Bench (7)
24 Javi Guerra
9 Manucho Gonçalves
26 Jonatan Caballero
6 M. Iturra
25 Yoel
4 Antonio Amaya
15 R. Raţ

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Santiago Jaime Latre · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.