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La Liga
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano
Barcelona
T T S S S
5–0
Full-time
Espanol
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Espanol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,8
2,7
Scored
3,0
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+2,2
-1,0
This season — La Liga · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 53%
75%
31%
Points per game
2,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
78%
58%
Both score Ø 53%
53%
53%
Average goals
3,7
2,9
Scored
2,9
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,9
Goal diff per game
+2,1
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

67% Possession 33%
13 Shots 4
7 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 0
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 25
2 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Barcelona 1. · Espanol 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 36 27 4 5 +75 85
2 Ath Madrid 36 27 4 5 +44 85
3 Real Madrid 36 26 6 4 +73 84
4 Villarreal 36 18 10 8 +13 64
5 Ath Bilbao 36 17 7 12 +11 58
6 Celta 36 16 9 11 -7 57
7 Sevilla 36 14 10 12 +6 52
8 Malaga 36 11 12 13 +1 45
9 Valencia 36 11 11 14 +0 44
10 Las Palmas 36 12 7 17 -5 43
11 Sociedad 36 11 9 16 -5 42
12 Eibar 36 11 9 16 -10 42
13 Betis 36 10 11 15 -19 41
14 Espanol 36 11 7 18 -31 40
15 La Coruna 36 7 18 11 -16 39
16 Granada 36 9 9 18 -23 36
17 Vallecano 36 8 11 17 -22 35
18 Sp Gijon 36 9 8 19 -24 35
19 Getafe 36 9 8 19 -29 35
20 Levante 36 7 8 21 -32 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Jan -16 Espanol – Barcelona 0–0

Match report

Barcelona Espanol
1–0 L. Messi
8′
Lionel Messi 🟨
12′
18′
🟨 Papakouli Diop
27′
🟨 Hernán Pérez
36′
🟨 Víctor Álvarez
39′
🟨 José Alberto Cañas
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Gerard Moreno
↦ F. Caicedo
2–0 L. Suárez
L. Messi
52′
3–0 L. Suárez
Neymar
61′
63′
🟨 Javi López
66′
🔁 Rober Correa
↦ H. Pérez
69′
🟨 Pau López
69′
🟨 Rober
J. Mathieu 🔁
↦ Jordi Alba
70′
72′
🔁 Paco Montañés
↦ Cañas
A. Turan 🔁
↦ Iniesta
73′
Rafinha 🔁
↦ I. Rakitić
73′
4–0 Rafinha
74′
5–0 Neymar
L. Suárez
83′
Javier Mascherano 🟨
90′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Barcelona

1 M. ter Stegen G
6 Dani Alves D
3 Piqué D
18 Jordi Alba D
14 J. Mascherano M
8 Iniesta M
4 I. Rakitić M
5 Busquets M
10 L. Messi F
9 L. Suárez F
11 Neymar F
Bench (7)
24 J. Mathieu
7 A. Turan
12 Rafinha
17 Munir
22 Aleix Vidal
25 Jordi Masip
20 Sergi Roberto

Espanol

13 Pau López G
16 Javi López D
6 E. Roco D
5 Víctor Álvarez D
3 Rubén Duarte D
12 P. Diop M
4 Víctor Sánchez M
14 Cañas M
25 Marco Asensio M
20 F. Caicedo F
17 H. Pérez M
Bench (7)
7 Gerard Moreno
2 Rober Correa
11 Paco Montañés
19 Joan Jordán
1 G. Arlauskis
8 Salva Sevilla
27 Lluis López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jesus Gil Manzano · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.