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La Liga
Referee: Inaki Vicandi Garrido
Osasuna
U T T U
1–2
Full-time
Espanol
S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Espanol
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
25%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
4,8
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
2,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,2
This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
2,8
4,5
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
2,0
2,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
18 Shots 10
12 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 11
7 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Osasuna 18. · Espanol 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 5 4 1 0 +9 13
2 Sevilla 5 3 2 0 +4 11
3 Barcelona 5 3 1 1 +8 10
4 Ath Madrid 5 2 3 0 +9 9
5 Las Palmas 5 3 0 2 +3 9
6 Villarreal 5 2 3 0 +3 9
7 Ath Bilbao 5 3 0 2 +1 9
8 Sociedad 5 2 1 2 +1 7
9 Eibar 5 2 1 2 +0 7
10 Sp Gijon 5 2 1 2 -4 7
11 Alaves 4 1 3 0 +1 6
12 La Coruna 4 1 2 1 +0 5
13 Malaga 5 1 2 2 -2 5
14 Betis 5 1 2 2 -4 5
15 Leganes 4 1 1 2 -4 4
16 Celta 5 1 1 3 -5 4
17 Espanol 4 0 2 2 -4 2
18 Osasuna 4 0 2 2 -5 2
19 Granada 5 0 2 3 -6 2
20 Valencia 4 0 0 4 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Osasuna Espanol
Imanol García 🟨
38′
42′
Léo Baptistão 0–1
Javi López
Half-time 0–1
Oriol Riera 🔁
↦ Imanol García
46′
51′
🟨 Papakouli Diop
Olavide 🔁
↦ Álex Berenguer
54′
63′
🔁 Marc Roca
↦ José Antonio Reyes
66′
🔁 Álvaro Vázquez
↦ Léo Baptistão
1–1 Sergio León
Jaime Romero
68′
72′
Gerard Moreno 1–2
Marc Roca
Sergio León 🟨
87′
88′
🔁 D. Reyes
↦ H. Pérez
Kenan 🔁
↦ C. Bonnín
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Osasuna

4-2-3-1
1 Mario G
6 Oier D
16 Fuentes D
3 C. Bonnín D
5 David García D
15 Unai García D
17 Jaime Romero M
10 Roberto Torres M
11 Álex Berenguer F
31 Imanol García M
7 Sergio León F
Bench (7)
9 Oriol Riera
35 Olavide
19 Kenan
13 Nauzet Pérez
18 Fran Mérida
21 Carlos Clerc
34 Aitor Buñuel

Coach: Enrique Martín

Espanol

4-2-3-1
13 Diego López G
6 Ó. Duarte D
9 José Antonio Reyes M
20 P. Diop M
18 Javi Fuego M
4 Víctor Sánchez M
16 Javi López D
15 David López D
17 H. Pérez M
7 Gerard Moreno F
11 Léo Baptistão F
Bench (7)
28 Marc Roca
22 Álvaro Vázquez
23 D. Reyes
1 Roberto Jiménez
2 M. Demichelis
10 F. Caicedo
14 José Jurado

Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Inaki Vicandi Garrido · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
14,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.