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La Liga
Referee: Alfonso Alvarez Izquierdo
0–2
Full-time
Sociedad
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%
9 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 1
4 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Osasuna 13. · Sociedad 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 La Coruna 2 1 1 0 +1 4
2 Barcelona 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Malaga 2 0 2 0 +0 2
9 Granada 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Villarreal 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Ath Madrid 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Alaves 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Osasuna 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Espanol 2 0 1 1 -2 1
15 Betis 2 0 1 1 -4 1
16 Eibar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Ath Bilbao 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Celta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Valencia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Sociedad 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Osasuna Sociedad
Aitor Buñuel 🔁
↦ Javi Flaño
7′
Miguel Flaño 🟨
20′
Unai García 🟨
23′
Half-time 0–1
47′
Juanmi 0–1
Mikel Oyarzabal
57′
🔁 Aritz Elustondo
↦ Joseba Zaldúa
Sergio León 🔁
↦ Oriol Riera
63′
66′
🟨 Mikel González
66′
🔁 C. Vela
↦ Juanmi
Kenan 🔁
↦ Jaime Romero
74′
81′
Unai García 1–1
own goal
83′
🔁 Bergara
↦ Mikel Oyarzabal
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Osasuna

5-3-2
13 Nauzet Pérez G
2 Javi Flaño D
4 Miguel Flaño D
6 Oier D
5 David García D
21 Carlos Clerc D
15 Unai García D
18 Fran Mérida M
20 De las Cuevas M
17 Jaime Romero M
9 Oriol Riera F
Bench (7)
34 Aitor Buñuel
7 Sergio León
19 Kenan
14 Fausto Tienza
1 Mario
3 C. Bonnín
10 Roberto Torres

Coach: Enrique Martín

Sociedad

4-2-3-1
1 G. Rulli G
3 Mikel González D
19 Yuri D
6 Íñigo Martínez D
20 Joseba Zaldúa D
10 Xabi Prieto M
4 Illarramendi M
17 Zurutuza M
14 Rubén Pardo M
7 Juanmi F
18 Mikel Oyarzabal M
Bench (7)
15 Aritz Elustondo
11 C. Vela
5 Bergara
21 Litri
12 Willian José
25 Toño
24 David Concha

Coach: Eusebio Sacristán

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alfonso Alvarez Izquierdo · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.