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La Liga
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano
Espanol
T S T S T
2–2
Full-time
Malaga
T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
4,7
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
3,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,5
This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
10,0
2,0
Scored
4,0
1,0
Conceded
6,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
7 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 4
4 Offside 5
20 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Espanol 18. · Malaga 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 La Coruna 2 1 1 0 +1 4
2 Barcelona 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Granada 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Villarreal 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Ath Madrid 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Alaves 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Malaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Osasuna 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Betis 2 0 1 1 -4 1
15 Eibar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Ath Bilbao 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Celta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Espanol 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Valencia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Sociedad 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Espanol Malaga
9′
🟨 Federico Ricca
1–0 Gerard Moreno
Léo Baptistão
28′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Miguel Torres
↦ F. Ricca
56′
🔁 Charles
↦ Recio
2–0 Gerard Moreno
P. Piatti
61′
64′
🟨 Ignacio Camacho
F. Caicedo 🔁
↦ Léo Baptistão
64′
67′
Diego Llorente 2–1
Álvaro González 🟨
68′
José Antonio Reyes 🔁
↦ H. Pérez
70′
74′
🟨 Bakary Koné
77′
🔁 Y. En-Nesyri
↦ Keko
P. Diop 🔁
↦ Marc Roca
87′
Pablo Piatti 🟨
89′
89′
🟨 Carlos Kameni
90′
Charles 2–2
Ignacio Camacho
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Espanol

4-4-2
1 Roberto Jiménez G
6 Ó. Duarte D
22 Álvaro González D
18 Javi Fuego M
4 Víctor Sánchez M
16 Javi López D
28 Marc Roca M
17 H. Pérez M
19 P. Piatti M
7 Gerard Moreno F
11 Léo Baptistão F
Bench (7)
10 F. Caicedo
9 José Antonio Reyes
20 P. Diop
25 Pau López
14 José Jurado
29 Aarón Martín
2 M. Demichelis

Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores

Malaga

4-2-3-1
1 C. Kameni
18 R. Rosales D
2 Bakary Koné D
5 Diego Llorente D
15 F. Ricca D
6 Ignacio Camacho M
20 Keko M
21 Jony M
14 Recio M
10 J. Añor M
19 Sandro Ramírez F
Bench (7)
23 Miguel Torres
9 Charles
26 Y. En-Nesyri
22 Z. Kuzmanović
31 Pablo Fornals
11 G. Castro
27 Aarón Escandell

Coach: Juande Ramos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jesus Gil Manzano · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.