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La Liga

Referee: Daniel Jesus Trujillo Suarez

Osasuna

U T T

0–0

Full-time

Celta

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,3

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

2,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-1,3

This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,3

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

1,0

0,3

Conceded

2,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%

8 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 5

0 Offside 7

18 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Osasuna 18. · Celta 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	3	0	1	+8	9
2	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Las Palmas	4	3	0	1	+6	9
4	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+9	8
5	Sevilla	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Eibar	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Sp Gijon	4	2	1	1	-3	7
8	Villarreal	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Alaves	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Betis	4	1	2	1	-3	5
11	La Coruna	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Leganes	4	1	1	2	-4	4
14	Ath Bilbao	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Espanol	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Malaga	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	Granada	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Osasuna	3	0	1	2	-5	1
19	Valencia	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Celta	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+5	4
6	Eibar	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Barcelona	2	1	0	1	+3	3
8	La Coruna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Betis	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Granada	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Malaga	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Leganes	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Celta	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+4	4
3	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Las Palmas	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Betis	2	1	0	1	-3	3
12	Sevilla	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	La Coruna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Malaga	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Osasuna	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Granada	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	Sp Gijon	2	0	1	1	-5	1
19	Celta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.