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La Liga
Referee: Alfonso Alvarez Izquierdo
Malaga
T S U S U
1–1
Full-time
Granada
T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Granada
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,3
2,0
Scored
2,5
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 22%
36%
7%
Points per game
1,4
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
57%
57%
Both score Ø 72%
64%
79%
Average goals
3,1
3,1
Scored
1,6
0,9
Conceded
1,5
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
16 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 2
4 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malaga 11. · Granada 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 14 10 4 0 +25 34
2 Barcelona 14 8 4 2 +19 28
3 Sevilla 14 8 3 3 +5 27
4 Ath Madrid 14 7 4 3 +17 25
5 Villarreal 14 6 5 3 +9 23
6 Sociedad 14 7 2 5 +4 23
7 Ath Bilbao 14 7 2 5 +3 23
8 Eibar 14 6 3 5 +2 21
9 Celta 14 6 3 5 -2 21
10 Las Palmas 14 5 5 4 +3 20
11 Malaga 14 5 5 4 +2 20
12 Espanol 14 4 7 3 +0 19
13 Alaves 14 4 5 5 -3 17
14 Betis 14 4 3 7 -11 15
15 Leganes 14 4 2 8 -14 14
16 La Coruna 14 3 4 7 -6 13
17 Valencia 14 3 3 8 -7 12
18 Sp Gijon 14 3 3 8 -13 12
19 Granada 14 1 5 8 -17 8
20 Osasuna 14 1 4 9 -16 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malaga Granada
1–0 Ignacio Camacho
R. Rosales
24′
27′
🟨 Tito
Miguel Torres 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
Pablo Fornals 🟨
46′
47′
🟨 Uche Agbo
60′
🔁 Bueno
↦ U. Agbo
61′
🟨 Matthieu Saunier
Duda 🔁
↦ J. Añor
64′
68′
🔁 E. Ponce
↦ M. Carcela
73′
🔁 Isaac Cuenca
↦ Tito
74′
🟨 Isaac Cuenca
81′
A. Kravets 1–1
Bueno
87′
🟨 David Lombán
Mikel Villanueva 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Malaga

4-2-3-1
13 D. Boyko G
23 Miguel Torres D
18 R. Rosales D
7 Juan Carlos D
5 Diego Llorente D
4 M. Villanueva D
6 Ignacio Camacho M
10 J. Añor M
31 Pablo Fornals M
39 Javi Ontiveros M
19 Sandro Ramírez F
Bench (7)
17 Duda
1 C. Kameni
2 Bakary Koné
8 Michael Santos
15 F. Ricca
21 Jony
26 Y. En-Nesyri

Coach: Juande Ramos

Granada

4-3-3
13 G. Ochoa G
6 Lombán D
2 Tito D
20 M. Saunier D
12 Gabriel Silva D
5 U. Agbo M
16 M. Carcela M
4 Sergi Samper M
10 J. Boga M
18 Andreas Pereira M
24 A. Kravets F
Bench (7)
23 Bueno
9 E. Ponce
19 Isaac Cuenca
1 Oier
3 G. Silva
8 Javi Márquez
11 Jon Toral

Coach: Lucas Alcaraz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alfonso Alvarez Izquierdo · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.