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La Liga

Referee: Inaki Vicandi Garrido

Malaga

U S T S U

4–3

Full-time

La Coruna

T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga La Coruna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

1,3

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,2

This season — La Liga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

58%

Average goals

2,8

2,4

Scored

1,4

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

37% Possession 63%

10 Shots 24

4 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 7

5 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 5

1 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malaga 11. · La Coruna 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	12	9	3	0	+24	30
2	Barcelona	12	8	2	2	+19	26
3	Sevilla	12	7	3	2	+5	24
4	Villarreal	12	6	4	2	+11	22
5	Sociedad	12	7	1	4	+8	22
6	Ath Madrid	12	6	3	3	+14	21
7	Eibar	13	6	3	4	+4	21
8	Ath Bilbao	12	6	2	4	+3	20
9	Celta	12	5	2	5	-4	17
10	Las Palmas	12	4	4	4	+1	16
11	Malaga	12	4	4	4	+1	16
12	Espanol	12	3	6	3	-3	15
13	Betis	13	4	2	7	-11	14
14	Alaves	12	3	4	5	-5	13
15	Leganes	12	4	1	7	-11	13
16	Valencia	12	3	2	7	-6	11
17	La Coruna	12	2	4	6	-9	10
18	Sp Gijon	12	2	3	7	-14	9
19	Osasuna	12	1	4	7	-11	7
20	Granada	12	0	5	7	-16	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	6	5	1	0	+11	16
2	Eibar	7	5	1	1	+6	16
3	Sevilla	6	5	0	1	+5	15
4	Real Madrid	6	4	2	0	+8	14
5	Ath Madrid	6	4	1	1	+11	13
6	Sociedad	6	4	1	1	+6	13
7	Malaga	6	4	1	1	+5	13
8	Ath Bilbao	6	4	1	1	+4	13
9	Las Palmas	6	3	3	0	+6	12
10	Celta	6	4	0	2	+1	12
11	Barcelona	6	3	2	1	+8	11
12	Betis	6	2	2	2	-3	8
13	La Coruna	6	2	1	3	-1	7
14	Sp Gijon	6	2	1	3	-6	7
15	Alaves	6	1	3	2	-2	6
16	Espanol	6	0	4	2	-4	4
17	Valencia	6	1	1	4	-5	4
18	Leganes	6	1	1	4	-6	4
19	Granada	6	0	3	3	-3	3
20	Osasuna	6	0	2	4	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	6	5	1	0	+16	16
2	Barcelona	6	5	0	1	+11	15
3	Espanol	6	3	2	1	+1	11
4	Sociedad	6	3	0	3	+2	9
5	Sevilla	6	2	3	1	+0	9
6	Leganes	6	3	0	3	-5	9
7	Ath Madrid	6	2	2	2	+3	8
8	Valencia	6	2	1	3	-1	7
9	Ath Bilbao	6	2	1	3	-1	7
10	Alaves	6	2	1	3	-3	7
11	Villarreal	6	1	3	2	+0	6
12	Betis	7	2	0	5	-8	6
13	Eibar	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Celta	6	1	2	3	-5	5
15	Osasuna	6	1	2	3	-6	5
16	Las Palmas	6	1	1	4	-5	4
17	Malaga	6	0	3	3	-4	3
18	La Coruna	6	0	3	3	-8	3
19	Sp Gijon	6	0	2	4	-8	2
20	Granada	6	0	2	4	-13	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.