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La Liga

Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea

Barcelona

T S S S S

0–0

Full-time

Malaga

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

4,2

3,5

Scored

3,0

2,0

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,5

This season — La Liga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 55%

73%

36%

Points per game

2,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

73%

55%

Both score Ø 64%

64%

Average goals

4,1

3,0

Scored

2,9

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

81% Possession 19%

29 Shots 4

8 Shots on target 1

7 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 8

14 Corners 1

5 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match Barcelona 2. · Malaga 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	11	8	3	0	+21	27
2	Barcelona	11	8	1	2	+19	25
3	Sevilla	12	7	3	2	+5	24
4	Villarreal	11	6	4	1	+12	22
5	Ath Madrid	11	6	3	2	+17	21
6	Sociedad	11	6	1	4	+6	19
7	Ath Bilbao	11	5	2	4	+2	17
8	Celta	11	5	2	4	-3	17
9	Las Palmas	12	4	4	4	+1	16
10	Malaga	11	4	3	4	+1	15
11	Eibar	11	4	3	4	+1	15
12	Betis	12	4	2	6	-9	14
13	Alaves	11	3	4	4	-4	13
14	Espanol	11	2	6	3	-4	12
15	Valencia	11	3	1	7	-6	10
16	La Coruna	12	2	4	6	-9	10
17	Leganes	11	3	1	7	-13	10
18	Sp Gijon	11	2	3	6	-12	9
19	Osasuna	11	1	4	6	-9	7
20	Granada	11	0	4	7	-16	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	6	5	1	0	+11	16
2	Sevilla	6	5	0	1	+5	15
3	Real Madrid	6	4	2	0	+8	14
4	Ath Madrid	5	4	1	0	+14	13
5	Sociedad	6	4	1	1	+6	13
6	Malaga	6	4	1	1	+5	13
7	Las Palmas	6	3	3	0	+6	12
8	Celta	6	4	0	2	+1	12
9	Barcelona	5	3	1	1	+8	10
10	Ath Bilbao	5	3	1	1	+3	10
11	Eibar	5	3	1	1	+3	10
12	Betis	6	2	2	2	-3	8
13	La Coruna	6	2	1	3	-1	7
14	Sp Gijon	5	2	1	2	-4	7
15	Alaves	5	1	3	1	-1	6
16	Espanol	6	0	4	2	-4	4
17	Granada	6	0	3	3	-3	3
18	Valencia	5	1	0	4	-5	3
19	Osasuna	6	0	2	4	-5	2
20	Leganes	5	0	1	4	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	5	0	1	+11	15
2	Real Madrid	5	4	1	0	+13	13
3	Sevilla	6	2	3	1	+0	9
4	Leganes	6	3	0	3	-5	9
5	Ath Madrid	6	2	2	2	+3	8
6	Espanol	5	2	2	1	+0	8
7	Valencia	6	2	1	3	-1	7
8	Ath Bilbao	6	2	1	3	-1	7
9	Alaves	6	2	1	3	-3	7
10	Villarreal	5	1	3	1	+1	6
11	Sociedad	5	2	0	3	+0	6
12	Betis	6	2	0	4	-6	6
13	Eibar	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Osasuna	5	1	2	2	-4	5
15	Celta	5	1	2	2	-4	5
16	Las Palmas	6	1	1	4	-5	4
17	La Coruna	6	0	3	3	-8	3
18	Malaga	5	0	2	3	-4	2
19	Sp Gijon	6	0	2	4	-8	2
20	Granada	5	0	1	4	-13	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.