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La Liga

Referee: Javier Estrada Fernandez

Las Palmas

S S T S T

2–2

Full-time

Real Madrid

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,3

3,2

Scored

2,2

2,5

Conceded

2,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,8

This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 70%

60%

80%

Points per game

1,8

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

80%

60%

Both score Ø 70%

80%

60%

Average goals

4,2

3,4

Scored

2,4

2,6

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%

8 Shots 27

6 Shots on target 11

0 Blocked shots 7

9 Goalkeeper saves 4

0 Corners 5

1 Offside 5

7 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Las Palmas 7. · Real Madrid 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	4	1	1	+13	13
2	Real Madrid	5	4	1	0	+9	13
3	Ath Bilbao	6	4	0	2	+3	12
4	Sevilla	6	3	2	1	+2	11
5	Eibar	6	3	1	2	+2	10
6	Ath Madrid	5	2	3	0	+9	9
7	Las Palmas	5	3	0	2	+3	9
8	Villarreal	5	2	3	0	+3	9
9	Betis	6	2	2	2	-3	8
10	Sociedad	6	2	1	3	-1	7
11	Leganes	5	2	1	2	-3	7
12	Sp Gijon	6	2	1	3	-9	7
13	Alaves	5	1	3	1	+0	6
14	La Coruna	5	1	2	2	-1	5
15	Espanol	5	1	2	2	-3	5
16	Malaga	6	1	2	3	-3	5
17	Celta	5	1	1	3	-5	4
18	Valencia	5	1	0	4	-4	3
19	Granada	5	0	2	3	-6	2
20	Osasuna	5	0	2	3	-6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Eibar	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Las Palmas	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Ath Bilbao	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Sp Gijon	3	2	0	1	-3	6
7	Betis	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+5	4
9	Barcelona	3	1	1	1	+3	4
10	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Malaga	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	La Coruna	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Valencia	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Celta	3	1	0	2	-4	3
16	Alaves	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Granada	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Osasuna	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Leganes	2	0	1	1	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Leganes	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Ath Bilbao	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Ath Madrid	3	1	2	0	+4	5
6	Villarreal	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Alaves	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Espanol	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Eibar	3	1	0	2	-1	3
10	Sociedad	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Las Palmas	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Betis	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	La Coruna	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Sevilla	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Celta	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Malaga	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Osasuna	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Granada	2	0	1	1	-4	1
19	Sp Gijon	3	0	1	2	-6	1
20	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.