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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea
Betis
T T U U T
2–1
Full-time
Celta
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
4,0
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
2,5
3,0
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-2,0
This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
5,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%
10 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 18. · Celta 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sociedad 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Barcelona 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Levante 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Girona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Ath Madrid 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Sevilla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Espanol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Ath Bilbao 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Getafe 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Celta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Las Palmas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Alaves 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Malaga 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Betis 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 La Coruna 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Villarreal 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Celta
10′
Víctor Camarasa 1–0
own goal
2–0 Sergio León
A. Guardado
31′
Half-time 2–0
Zouhair Feddal 🟨
64′
65′
🔁 P. Hernández
↦ D. Wass
Cristian Tello 🔁
↦ Francis Guerrero
66′
68′
🟨 Jozabed Sánchez
75′
🔁 G. Cabral
↦ F. Roncaglia
3–0 Z. Feddal
A. Guardado
77′
A. Sanabria 🔁
↦ Sergio León
80′
80′
🔁 S. Lobotka
↦ Sergi Gómez
Aïssa Mandi 🟨
84′
J. Narváez 🔁
↦ Joaquín
84′
90′
🟨 Nemanja Radoja
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Betis

4-1-4-1
13 Adán G
19 Barragán M
23 A. Mandi D
4 Z. Feddal D
14 R. Durmisi D
17 Joaquín M
18 A. Guardado M
3 Javi García M
8 Víctor Camarasa M
7 Sergio León F
27 Francis Guerrero M
Bench (7)
20 Cristian Tello
9 A. Sanabria
29 J. Narváez
1 Dani Giménez
6 Fabián Ruiz
5 Jordi Amat
21 A. Toșca

Coach: Quique Setién

Celta

4-3-3
1 Sergio Álvarez G
24 F. Roncaglia D
2 Hugo Mallo D
20 Sergi Gómez D
19 Jonny Castro D
18 D. Wass M
16 Jozabed M
6 N. Radoja M
10 Iago Aspas F
11 P. Sisto M
7 M. Gómez F
Bench (7)
8 P. Hernández
22 G. Cabral
14 S. Lobotka
13 Rubén Blanco
3 Fontàs
26 Brais Méndez
17 A. Hjulsager

Coach: Unzué

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.