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La Liga
Referee: Javier Alberola Rojas
Malaga
T S T U S
0–2
Full-time
Betis
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,3
This season — La Liga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 27%
20%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 40%
33%
47%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
0,9
1,5
Conceded
1,9
1,9
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%
18 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malaga 19. · Betis 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 16 13 3 0 +35 42
2 Ath Madrid 16 10 6 0 +18 36
3 Valencia 16 10 4 2 +20 34
4 Real Madrid 15 9 4 2 +19 31
5 Sevilla 16 9 2 5 +0 29
6 Villarreal 16 7 3 6 +3 24
7 Girona 16 6 5 5 -2 23
8 Eibar 16 6 3 7 -10 21
9 Getafe 16 5 5 6 +4 20
10 Sociedad 16 5 5 6 +0 20
11 Leganes 15 6 2 7 -2 20
12 Celta 16 5 3 8 +3 18
13 Ath Bilbao 16 4 6 6 -3 18
14 Betis 15 5 3 7 -6 18
15 Levante 16 3 8 5 -7 17
16 Espanol 16 4 5 7 -8 17
17 La Coruna 16 4 3 9 -13 15
18 Alaves 16 4 0 12 -13 12
19 Malaga 15 3 2 10 -15 11
20 Las Palmas 16 3 2 11 -23 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malaga Betis
24′
Sergio León 0–1
Joaquín
D. Rolan 🔁
↦ Adrián
39′
Roberto Rosales 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–2
50′
Víctor Camarasa 0–2
Barragán
Javi Ontiveros 🔁
↦ Keko
55′
Adrián González 🟥
61′
Y. En-Nesyri 🔁
↦ A. Peñaranda
66′
71′
🟨 Antonio Barragán
73′
🔁 Javi García
↦ Jordi Amat
77′
🔁 Matías Nahuel
↦ Víctor Camarasa
84′
🟨 Joaquín
85′
🔁 Aitor Ruibal
↦ Joaquín
Javier Ontiveros 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Malaga

4-4-2
1 Roberto Jiménez G
22 P. Baysse D
18 R. Rosales D
4 Luis Hernández D
3 Diego González D
11 G. Castro M
8 Adrián M
20 Keko M
14 Recio M
9 Borja Bastón F
16 A. Peñaranda F
Bench (7)
24 D. Rolan
17 Javi Ontiveros
26 Y. En-Nesyri
2 Miquel
5 E. Rolón
10 J. Añor
25 Andrés Prieto

Coach: Míchel

Betis

4-1-4-1
13 Adán G
19 Barragán M
23 A. Mandi D
5 Jordi Amat D
4 Z. Feddal D
14 R. Durmisi D
17 Joaquín M
8 Víctor Camarasa M
6 Fabián Ruiz M
7 Sergio León F
20 Cristian Tello F
Bench (7)
3 Javi García
11 Matías Nahuel
34 Aitor Ruibal
1 Dani Giménez
2 Rafa Navarro
21 A. Toșca
35 Julio Gracia

Coach: Quique Setién

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Javier Alberola Rojas · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.