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La Liga
Referee: Eduardo Prieto Iglesias
Malaga
U S T S T
0–1
Full-time
Betis
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 25%
20%
30%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
20%
50%
Both score Ø 35%
10%
60%
Average goals
1,3
2,6
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
12 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malaga 17. · Betis 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 10 7 3 0 +20 24
2 Barcelona 10 8 0 2 +10 24
3 Celta 11 6 3 2 +4 21
4 Ath Madrid 10 6 2 2 +9 20
5 Villarreal 10 6 2 2 +7 20
6 Eibar 11 5 4 2 +5 19
7 Valencia 11 5 3 3 +8 18
8 La Coruna 11 3 6 2 +3 15
9 Ath Bilbao 10 4 2 4 +3 14
10 Vallecano 11 4 1 6 -6 13
11 Espanol 10 4 1 5 -10 13
12 Sevilla 10 3 3 4 +0 12
13 Sp Gijon 10 3 3 4 -3 12
14 Betis 10 3 3 4 -6 12
15 Getafe 11 3 1 7 -7 10
16 Sociedad 11 2 3 6 -2 9
17 Malaga 10 2 3 5 -3 9
18 Las Palmas 11 2 3 6 -7 9
19 Granada 11 1 4 6 -9 7
20 Levante 11 1 4 6 -16 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malaga Betis
-5′
🟨 Ricky van Wolfswinkel
31′
🟨 Bruno González
40′
🟨 Álvaro Cejudo
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Xavi Torres
↦ D. Digard
Marcos Angeleri 🟨
48′
64′
Rubén Castro 0–1
Francisco Varela
67′
🔁 Dani Ceballos
↦ R. van der Vaart
D. Čop 🔁
↦ Recio
70′
Ricardo Horta 🔁
↦ Juan Carlos
77′
78′
🟨 Cristiano Piccini
Charles Días 🟨
79′
H. Mastour 🔁
↦ A. Tighadouini
85′
86′
🔁 Molinero
↦ Cejudo
90′
🟨 Francisco Varela
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Malaga

1 C. Kameni
19 A. Boka D
3 Weligton D
18 R. Rosales D
15 M. Angeleri D
7 Juan Carlos D
12 F. Tissone M
17 Duda M
14 Recio M
22 A. Tighadouini F
9 Charles F
Bench (7)
20 D. Čop
10 Ricardo Horta
16 H. Mastour
2 Albentosa
8 Fábio Espinho
13 G. Ochoa
31 Pablo Fornals

Betis

13 Adán G
17 H. Westermann D
4 Bruno González D
12 C. Piccini D
33 Francisco Varela D
23 R. van der Vaart
7 Joaquín M
15 D. Digard M
16 Cejudo M
25 Petros M
24 Rubén Castro F
Bench (7)
14 Xavi Torres
10 Dani Ceballos
2 Molinero
1 Dani Giménez
9 R. van Wolfswinkel
20 G. Pezzella
22 Portillo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Eduardo Prieto Iglesias · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
14,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.