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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Hernandez
Betis
T U T U T
0–1
Full-time
Ath Madrid
U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,3
This season — La Liga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 47%
36%
57%
Points per game
1,3
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
64%
36%
Both score Ø 47%
50%
43%
Average goals
3,6
2,1
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
2,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

73% Possession 27%
9 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 19
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 11. · Ath Madrid 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 14 11 3 0 +29 36
2 Valencia 15 10 4 1 +21 34
3 Real Madrid 15 9 4 2 +19 31
4 Ath Madrid 14 8 6 0 +16 30
5 Sevilla 15 9 1 5 +0 28
6 Villarreal 14 6 3 5 +4 21
7 Getafe 15 5 5 5 +5 20
8 Leganes 15 6 2 7 -2 20
9 Sociedad 15 5 4 6 +0 19
10 Celta 15 5 3 7 +4 18
11 Betis 14 5 3 6 -5 18
12 Eibar 15 5 3 7 -11 18
13 Girona 14 4 5 5 -4 17
14 Levante 14 3 7 4 -6 16
15 Espanol 14 4 4 6 -7 16
16 La Coruna 15 4 3 8 -9 15
17 Ath Bilbao 14 3 5 6 -4 14
18 Alaves 15 4 0 11 -12 12
19 Malaga 15 3 2 10 -15 11
20 Las Palmas 15 3 1 11 -23 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Ath Madrid
Ryad Boudebouz 🟨
1′
14′
🟨 Ángel Correa
29′
Saúl 0–1
Š. Vrsaljko
Andrés Guardado 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–1
51′
🟨 Diego Godín
59′
🟨 Filipe Luís
61′
🔁 J. Giménez
↦ Á. Correa
Víctor Camarasa 🔁
↦ A. Guardado
66′
Julio Gracia 🔁
↦ Barragán
75′
76′
🔁 Fernando Torres
↦ K. Gameiro
Aïssa Mandi 🟨
79′
Aitor Ruibal 🔁
↦ Fabián Ruiz
88′
Sergio León 🟨
90′
93′
🔁 L. Hernández
↦ T. Partey
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Betis

4-2-3-1
13 Adán G
19 Barragán M
23 A. Mandi D
4 Z. Feddal D
14 R. Durmisi D
17 Joaquín M
18 A. Guardado M
10 R. Boudebouz M
6 Fabián Ruiz M
7 Sergio León F
20 Cristian Tello F
Bench (7)
8 Víctor Camarasa
35 Julio Gracia
34 Aitor Ruibal
1 Dani Giménez
2 Rafa Navarro
11 Matías Nahuel
21 A. Toșca

Coach: Quique Setién

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
3 Filipe Luis D
2 D. Godín D
16 Š. Vrsaljko D
15 S. Savić D
14 Gabi M
8 Saúl M
6 Koke M
5 T. Partey M
21 K. Gameiro F
11 Á. Correa M
Bench (7)
24 J. Giménez
9 Fernando Torres
19 L. Hernández
1 Moyà
10 Y. Carrasco
12 A. Fernández
17 L. Vietto

Coach: D. Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alejandro Hernandez · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.