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La Liga
Referee: Carlos Del Cerro Grande
Sociedad
T S U U T
0–2
Full-time
Malaga
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 25%
36%
14%
Points per game
1,4
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
79%
43%
Both score Ø 58%
79%
36%
Average goals
3,9
2,8
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,9
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%
18 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 0
6 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 9. · Malaga 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 14 11 3 0 +29 36
2 Valencia 15 10 4 1 +21 34
3 Real Madrid 15 9 4 2 +19 31
4 Ath Madrid 14 8 6 0 +16 30
5 Sevilla 15 9 1 5 +0 28
6 Villarreal 14 6 3 5 +4 21
7 Getafe 15 5 5 5 +5 20
8 Leganes 15 6 2 7 -2 20
9 Sociedad 14 5 4 5 +2 19
10 Celta 15 5 3 7 +4 18
11 Betis 14 5 3 6 -5 18
12 Eibar 15 5 3 7 -11 18
13 Girona 14 4 5 5 -4 17
14 Levante 14 3 7 4 -6 16
15 Espanol 14 4 4 6 -7 16
16 La Coruna 15 4 3 8 -9 15
17 Ath Bilbao 14 3 5 6 -4 14
18 Alaves 15 4 0 11 -12 12
19 Las Palmas 15 3 1 11 -23 10
20 Malaga 14 2 2 10 -17 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Malaga
9′
🟨 Chori Castro
23′
Borja Bastón 0–1
David Zurutuza 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–1
Igor Zubeldía 🔁
↦ Zurutuza
46′
53′
🔁 Y. En-Nesyri
↦ A. Peñaranda
58′
G. Castro 0–2
Juanmi 🔁
↦ A. Januzaj
65′
Jon Bautista 🔁
↦ Willian José
73′
78′
🔁 Javi Ontiveros
↦ Keko
86′
🔁 Álex Mula
↦ Borja Bastón
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-3-3
1 G. Rulli G
24 De La Bella D
6 Íñigo Martínez D
3 Diego Llorente D
19 Álvaro Odriozola D
10 Xabi Prieto M
4 Illarramendi M
17 Zurutuza M
8 A. Januzaj M
12 Willian José F
18 Mikel Oyarzabal M
Bench (7)
5 Igor Zubeldía
7 Juanmi
21 Jon Bautista
2 Carlos Martínez
13 Toño
16 Canales
22 Raúl Navas

Coach: Eusebio Sacristán

Malaga

4-4-1-1
1 Roberto Jiménez G
22 P. Baysse D
18 R. Rosales D
4 Luis Hernández D
3 Diego González D
11 G. Castro M
8 Adrián M
20 Keko M
14 Recio M
9 Borja Bastón F
16 A. Peñaranda F
Bench (7)
26 Y. En-Nesyri
17 Javi Ontiveros
28 Álex Mula
2 Miquel
5 E. Rolón
10 J. Añor
25 Andrés Prieto

Coach: Míchel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Carlos Del Cerro Grande · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.