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La Liga
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano
Getafe
U T S T S
2–2
Full-time
Ath Bilbao
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Getafe Ath Bilbao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
0%
17%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,2
1,5
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
0,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
This season — La Liga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 35%
37%
32%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
42%
32%
Both score Ø 45%
47%
42%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%
17 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 12
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Getafe 9. · Ath Bilbao 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 19 16 3 0 +43 51
2 Ath Madrid 19 12 6 1 +20 42
3 Valencia 19 12 4 3 +21 40
4 Real Madrid 18 9 5 4 +15 32
5 Villarreal 19 9 4 6 +5 31
6 Sevilla 19 9 2 8 -5 29
7 Betis 19 8 3 8 -3 27
8 Eibar 19 8 3 8 -7 27
9 Getafe 19 7 5 7 +5 26
10 Girona 19 7 5 7 +0 26
11 Celta 19 7 4 8 +6 25
12 Ath Bilbao 19 6 7 6 +1 25
13 Leganes 18 7 3 8 -2 24
14 Espanol 19 6 6 7 -6 24
15 Sociedad 19 6 5 8 -1 23
16 Levante 19 3 9 7 -11 18
17 Alaves 19 6 0 13 -13 18
18 La Coruna 19 4 4 11 -16 16
19 Malaga 19 3 2 14 -20 11
20 Las Palmas 19 3 2 14 -32 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Getafe Ath Bilbao
13′
Iñaki Williams 0–1
A. Laporte
1–1 Jorge Molina
21′
Amath Ndiaye 🟨
29′
44′
🟨 Unai Núñez
Half-time 1–1
Molinero 🔁
↦ D. Suárez
46′
Francisco Molinero 🟨
47′
48′
Raúl García 1–2
Ángel 🔁
↦ G. Shibasaki
56′
61′
🔁 Beñat
↦ Susaeta
Dani Pacheco 🔁
↦ A. Ndiaye
63′
Jorge Molina 🟨
67′
68′
🔁 Aduriz
↦ Raúl García
2–2 Ángel
Portillo
74′
Djené 🟨
79′
88′
🔁 Iñigo Córdoba
↦ Sabin Merino
Mauro Arambarri 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Getafe

4-2-3-1
1 E. Martínez G
3 Antunes D
22 D. Suárez D
16 Juan Cala D
2 D. Dakonam D
5 Bergara M
10 G. Shibasaki M
12 Portillo M
18 M. Arambarri M
19 Jorge Molina F
23 A. Ndiaye M
Bench (7)
15 Molinero
9 Ángel
20 Dani Pacheco
4 Bruno González
14 Sergio Mora
21 F. Fajr
25 F. Manojlović

Coach: José Bordalás

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
13 Iago Herrerín G
3 Saborit D
4 A. Laporte D
15 Lekue D
12 Unai Núñez D
22 Raúl García M
14 Susaeta M
8 Iturraspe M
17 Mikel Rico M
19 Sabin Merino F
11 Iñaki Williams F
Bench (7)
7 Beñat
20 Aduriz
28 Iñigo Córdoba
2 Bóveda
16 Etxeita
21 Mikel Vesga
26 Unai Simón

Coach: José Ángel Ziganda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jesus Gil Manzano · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.