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La Liga

Referee: Pablo Gonzales Fuertes

Ath Bilbao

U U S U S

2–0

Full-time

Alaves

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 29%

29%

Points per game

1,2

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

35%

Both score Ø 35%

41%

29%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

1,1

0,8

Conceded

1,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%

14 Shots 8

8 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 1

3 Offside 1

23 Free kicks against 20

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 14. · Alaves 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	18	15	3	0	+41	48
2	Ath Madrid	18	11	6	1	+19	39
3	Valencia	18	11	4	3	+20	37
4	Real Madrid	16	9	4	3	+16	31
5	Sevilla	18	9	2	7	-4	29
6	Villarreal	17	8	3	6	+4	27
7	Eibar	18	8	3	7	-6	27
8	Leganes	17	7	3	7	-1	24
9	Betis	18	7	3	8	-4	24
10	Getafe	18	6	5	7	+4	23
11	Sociedad	18	6	5	7	+1	23
12	Girona	18	6	5	7	-6	23
13	Celta	17	6	3	8	+5	21
14	Ath Bilbao	17	5	6	6	-1	21
15	Espanol	17	5	5	7	-7	20
16	Levante	18	3	9	6	-10	18
17	Alaves	17	5	0	12	-12	15
18	La Coruna	17	4	3	10	-15	15
19	Malaga	17	3	2	12	-18	11
20	Las Palmas	18	3	2	13	-26	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	8	1	0	+25	25
2	Valencia	10	7	2	1	+15	23
3	Sevilla	9	6	2	1	+8	20
4	Ath Madrid	8	5	3	0	+7	18
5	Real Madrid	9	5	2	2	+10	17
6	Eibar	9	5	2	2	+7	17
7	Getafe	9	5	1	3	+8	16
8	Espanol	9	5	1	3	+3	16
9	Betis	9	4	2	3	+2	14
10	Leganes	8	4	2	2	+1	14
11	Villarreal	7	4	1	2	+8	13
12	Sociedad	9	3	3	3	+2	12
13	Celta	8	3	2	3	+1	11
14	Girona	9	3	2	4	-3	11
15	Ath Bilbao	8	2	4	2	+0	10
16	Levante	10	2	4	4	-5	10
17	La Coruna	9	3	1	5	-6	10
18	Alaves	9	3	0	6	-6	9
19	Malaga	8	2	2	4	-5	8
20	Las Palmas	9	2	1	6	-12	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	7	2	0	+16	23
2	Ath Madrid	10	6	3	1	+12	21
3	Real Madrid	7	4	2	1	+6	14
4	Valencia	8	4	2	2	+5	14
5	Villarreal	10	4	2	4	-4	14
6	Girona	9	3	3	3	-3	12
7	Ath Bilbao	9	3	2	4	-1	11
8	Sociedad	9	3	2	4	-1	11
9	Celta	9	3	1	5	+4	10
10	Leganes	9	3	1	5	-2	10
11	Betis	9	3	1	5	-6	10
12	Eibar	9	3	1	5	-13	10
13	Sevilla	9	3	0	6	-12	9
14	Levante	8	1	5	2	-5	8
15	Getafe	9	1	4	4	-4	7
16	Alaves	8	2	0	6	-6	6
17	La Coruna	8	1	2	5	-9	5
18	Espanol	8	0	4	4	-10	4
19	Las Palmas	9	1	1	7	-14	4
20	Malaga	9	1	0	8	-13	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.