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La Liga

Referee: David Fernandez Borbalan

Ath Bilbao

U T T S T

0–1

Full-time

Espanol

T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Espanol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,2

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

2,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,8

This season — La Liga · 37/37 matches

Win Ø 29%

27%

30%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

35%

30%

Both score Ø 46%

51%

41%

Average goals

2,4

2,1

Scored

1,1

0,9

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%

12 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 7

2 Offside 6

4 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 16. · Espanol 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	37	27	9	1	+69	90
2	Ath Madrid	37	23	9	5	+36	78
3	Real Madrid	38	22	10	6	+50	76
4	Valencia	38	22	7	9	+27	73
5	Villarreal	38	18	7	13	+7	61
6	Betis	38	18	6	14	-1	60
7	Sevilla	38	17	7	14	-9	58
8	Getafe	38	15	10	13	+9	55
9	Girona	38	14	9	15	-9	51
10	Eibar	37	14	8	15	-6	50
11	Sociedad	37	14	7	16	+8	49
12	Celta	38	13	10	15	-1	49
13	Alaves	38	15	2	21	-10	47
14	Espanol	37	11	13	13	-7	46
15	Levante	38	11	13	14	-14	46
16	Ath Bilbao	37	10	13	14	-7	43
17	Leganes	38	12	7	19	-17	43
18	La Coruna	38	6	11	21	-38	29
19	Las Palmas	38	5	7	26	-50	22
20	Malaga	38	5	5	28	-37	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	18	15	3	0	+41	48
2	Valencia	19	13	3	3	+20	42
3	Ath Madrid	18	12	5	1	+22	41
4	Real Madrid	19	12	4	3	+34	40
5	Sevilla	19	11	5	3	+9	38
6	Villarreal	19	11	3	5	+13	36
7	Betis	19	10	4	5	+4	34
8	Sociedad	19	10	3	6	+18	33
9	Celta	19	8	8	3	+11	32
10	Getafe	19	9	4	6	+13	31
11	Leganes	19	9	4	6	+0	31
12	Espanol	19	8	6	5	+4	30
13	Eibar	19	8	4	7	+7	28
14	Alaves	19	9	1	9	-2	28
15	Girona	19	8	3	8	+4	27
16	Levante	19	7	6	6	-3	27
17	Ath Bilbao	18	6	8	4	+4	26
18	La Coruna	19	4	6	9	-11	18
19	Malaga	19	4	3	12	-13	15
20	Las Palmas	19	4	2	13	-23	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	19	12	6	1	+28	42
2	Ath Madrid	19	11	4	4	+14	37
3	Real Madrid	19	10	6	3	+16	36
4	Valencia	19	9	4	6	+7	31
5	Betis	19	8	2	9	-5	26
6	Villarreal	19	7	4	8	-6	25
7	Getafe	19	6	6	7	-4	24
8	Girona	19	6	6	7	-13	24
9	Eibar	18	6	4	8	-13	22
10	Sevilla	19	6	2	11	-18	20
11	Alaves	19	6	1	12	-8	19
12	Levante	19	4	7	8	-11	19
13	Ath Bilbao	19	4	5	10	-11	17
14	Celta	19	5	2	12	-12	17
15	Sociedad	18	4	4	10	-10	16
16	Espanol	18	3	7	8	-11	16
17	Leganes	19	3	3	13	-17	12
18	La Coruna	19	2	5	12	-27	11
19	Las Palmas	19	1	5	13	-27	8
20	Malaga	19	1	2	16	-24	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.