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La Liga

Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera

Espanol

T T S U S

4–1

Full-time

Malaga

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,5

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,8

This season — La Liga · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 21%

28%

14%

Points per game

1,2

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 31%

28%

33%

Both score Ø 35%

39%

31%

Average goals

2,0

2,2

Scored

0,9

0,6

Conceded

1,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

66% Possession 34%

19 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 3

2 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 19

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Espanol 15. · Malaga 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	36	27	9	0	+70	90
2	Ath Madrid	37	23	9	5	+36	78
3	Real Madrid	37	22	9	6	+50	75
4	Valencia	37	21	7	9	+26	70
5	Villarreal	37	18	6	13	+7	60
6	Betis	37	18	6	13	+0	60
7	Sevilla	37	16	7	14	-10	55
8	Getafe	37	14	10	13	+8	52
9	Eibar	37	14	8	15	-6	50
10	Sociedad	37	14	7	16	+8	49
11	Girona	37	13	9	15	-10	48
12	Alaves	37	15	2	20	-9	47
13	Celta	37	12	10	15	-3	46
14	Ath Bilbao	37	10	13	14	-7	43
15	Espanol	36	10	13	13	-10	43
16	Levante	36	10	13	13	-13	43
17	Leganes	37	11	7	19	-18	40
18	La Coruna	37	6	11	20	-37	29
19	Las Palmas	37	5	7	25	-49	22
20	Malaga	36	5	5	26	-33	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	18	15	3	0	+41	48
2	Ath Madrid	18	12	5	1	+22	41
3	Real Madrid	19	12	4	3	+34	40
4	Valencia	18	12	3	3	+19	39
5	Villarreal	18	11	2	5	+13	35
6	Sevilla	18	10	5	3	+8	35
7	Betis	19	10	4	5	+4	34
8	Sociedad	19	10	3	6	+18	33
9	Getafe	19	9	4	6	+13	31
10	Celta	18	7	8	3	+9	29
11	Eibar	19	8	4	7	+7	28
12	Leganes	18	8	4	6	-1	28
13	Alaves	19	9	1	9	-2	28
14	Girona	19	8	3	8	+4	27
15	Espanol	18	7	6	5	+1	27
16	Ath Bilbao	18	6	8	4	+4	26
17	Levante	18	6	6	6	-4	24
18	La Coruna	19	4	6	9	-11	18
19	Malaga	18	4	3	11	-12	15
20	Las Palmas	18	4	2	12	-22	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	18	12	6	0	+29	42
2	Ath Madrid	19	11	4	4	+14	37
3	Real Madrid	18	10	5	3	+16	35
4	Valencia	19	9	4	6	+7	31
5	Betis	18	8	2	8	-4	26
6	Villarreal	19	7	4	8	-6	25
7	Eibar	18	6	4	8	-13	22
8	Getafe	18	5	6	7	-5	21
9	Girona	18	5	6	7	-14	21
10	Sevilla	19	6	2	11	-18	20
11	Alaves	18	6	1	11	-7	19
12	Levante	18	4	7	7	-9	19
13	Ath Bilbao	19	4	5	10	-11	17
14	Celta	19	5	2	12	-12	17
15	Sociedad	18	4	4	10	-10	16
16	Espanol	18	3	7	8	-11	16
17	Leganes	19	3	3	13	-17	12
18	La Coruna	18	2	5	11	-26	11
19	Las Palmas	19	1	5	13	-27	8
20	Malaga	18	1	2	15	-21	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.