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La Liga
Referee: Javier Alberola Rojas
Ath Bilbao
S T U T T
2–0
Full-time
Betis
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
100%
17%
Average goals
3,5
1,3
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
2,0
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
This season — La Liga · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 39%
26%
51%
Points per game
1,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
34%
51%
Both score Ø 46%
51%
40%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
14 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 5
5 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Bilbao 14. · Betis 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 34 26 8 0 +66 86
2 Ath Madrid 35 22 9 4 +37 75
3 Real Madrid 34 21 8 5 +45 71
4 Valencia 35 20 7 8 +26 67
5 Betis 35 18 5 12 +2 59
6 Villarreal 34 16 6 12 +8 54
7 Sevilla 35 15 6 14 -11 51
8 Getafe 35 13 10 12 +8 49
9 Girona 36 13 9 14 -9 48
10 Eibar 36 13 8 15 -7 47
11 Sociedad 36 13 7 16 +7 46
12 Celta 35 12 9 14 +3 45
13 Alaves 35 13 2 20 -14 41
14 Ath Bilbao 35 9 13 13 -7 40
15 Espanol 35 9 13 13 -12 40
16 Leganes 35 11 7 17 -14 40
17 Levante 35 9 13 13 -16 40
18 La Coruna 35 6 10 19 -35 28
19 Las Palmas 35 5 7 23 -47 22
20 Malaga 35 5 5 25 -30 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Bilbao Betis
20′
🔁 Víctor Camarasa
↦ J. Firpo
28′
🟨 Marc Bartra
Half-time 0–0
Iturraspe 🔁
↦ Beñat
62′
63′
🔁 Rubén Castro
↦ A. Sanabria
Iñigo Córdoba 🔁
↦ Saborit
73′
74′
🔁 R. Boudebouz
↦ Joaquín
1–0 Muniain
Lekue
76′
Susaeta 🔁
↦ Muniain
83′
90′
🟨 Javi García
2–0 Aduriz
Iñaki Williams
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

3-4-2-1
1 Kepa G
3 Saborit D
4 Íñigo Martínez D
5 Yeray Álvarez D
15 Lekue D
12 Unai Núñez D
7 Beñat M
17 Mikel Rico M
20 Aduriz F
10 Muniain F
11 Iñaki Williams F
Bench (7)
8 Iturraspe
28 Iñigo Córdoba
14 Susaeta
6 San José
13 Iago Herrerín
16 Etxeita
19 Sabin Merino

Coach: José Ángel Ziganda

Betis

5-3-2
31 Pedro López G
5 Jordi Amat D
15 Bartra D
14 R. Durmisi D
28 J. Firpo M
17 Joaquín M
3 Javi García M
6 Fabián Ruiz M
20 Cristian Tello F
9 A. Sanabria F
16 Loren Morón F
Bench (7)
8 Víctor Camarasa
24 Rubén Castro
10 R. Boudebouz
7 Sergio León
12 J. Campbell
23 A. Mandi
41 Dani Rebollo

Coach: Quique Setién

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Javier Alberola Rojas · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.