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La Liga

Referee: David Medie Jimenez

Huesca

S U T

0–1

Full-time

Vallecano

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Huesca Vallecano

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

5,7

3,2

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

3,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-0,8

This season — La Liga · 3/2 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

5,7

3,0

Scored

2,0

0,5

Conceded

3,7

2,5

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%

14 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 10

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Huesca 14. · Vallecano 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Celta	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Levante	3	1	1	1	+2	4
5	Sevilla	3	1	1	1	+2	4
6	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Espanol	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Getafe	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Ath Madrid	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Alaves	3	1	1	1	-2	4
12	Girona	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Betis	3	1	1	1	-2	4
14	Huesca	3	1	1	1	-5	4
15	Eibar	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Valladolid	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Valencia	3	0	2	1	-2	2
18	Villarreal	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Leganes	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Vallecano	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Celta	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Getafe	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Betis	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Valencia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Sevilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Levante	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Girona	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Villarreal	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Vallecano	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	+0	4
2	Huesca	3	1	1	1	-5	4
3	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Sevilla	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Celta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Valladolid	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Betis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Valencia	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Ath Madrid	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Vallecano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Leganes	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.