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La Liga

Referee: Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez

Ath Madrid

S T S U U

1–0

Full-time

Vallecano

T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Vallecano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

1,7

3,3

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,7

This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

2,0

5,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,0

4,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%

9 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

8 Corners 5

4 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 12. · Vallecano 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Getafe	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Valencia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Girona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Valladolid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Leganes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Alaves	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Betis	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Villarreal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Eibar	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Vallecano	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Valencia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Girona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Villarreal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Vallecano	1	0	0	1	-3	0
13	Betis	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Betis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Valladolid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Leganes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.