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La Liga
Referee: Carlos Clos Gomez
Vallecano
S U T T T
3–1
Full-time
Levante
S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
This season — La Liga · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 22%
22%
22%
Points per game
0,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
68%
59%
Both score Ø 58%
65%
51%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,9
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

55% Possession 45%
19 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vallecano 19. · Levante 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 38 29 4 5 +83 91
2 Real Madrid 38 28 6 4 +76 90
3 Ath Madrid 38 28 4 6 +45 88
4 Villarreal 37 18 10 9 +11 64
5 Ath Bilbao 38 18 8 12 +13 62
6 Celta 38 17 9 12 -8 60
7 Sevilla 38 14 10 14 +1 52
8 Malaga 38 12 12 14 +3 48
9 Sociedad 38 13 9 16 -3 48
10 Valencia 38 11 11 16 -2 44
11 Las Palmas 38 12 8 18 -8 44
12 Eibar 38 11 10 17 -12 43
13 Espanol 38 12 7 19 -34 43
14 La Coruna 38 8 18 12 -16 42
15 Betis 37 10 12 15 -19 42
16 Granada 38 10 9 19 -23 39
17 Sp Gijon 37 9 9 19 -24 36
18 Getafe 37 9 9 19 -29 36
19 Vallecano 37 8 11 18 -23 35
20 Levante 37 8 8 21 -31 32

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Jan -16 Levante – Vallecano 2–1

Match report

Vallecano Levante
1–0 Pablo Hernández
Antonio Amaya
12′
2–0 Jozabed
Roberto Trashorras
23′
37′
🔁 Toño
↦ Juanfran
Half-time 2–0
N. Fedor 🔁
↦ Diego Llorente
46′
58′
🔁 Deyverson
↦ Víctor Casadesús
Antonio Amaya 🟨
59′
Bebé 🔁
↦ Adri Embarba
59′
60′
Verza 2–1
63′
🟨 David Navarro
3–1 N. Fedor
Bebé
73′
75′
🔁 José Luis Morales
↦ Xumetra
82′
🟨 Deyverson
R. Raţ 🔁
↦ Nacho Martínez
88′
90′
🟨 Verza
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Vallecano

25 Yoel G
4 Antonio Amaya D
2 Tito D
3 Nacho Martínez D
27 Diego Llorente D
14 Pablo Hernández M
10 Roberto Trashorras M
21 Jozabed M
17 Quini D
11 Adri Embarba M
24 Javi Guerra F
Bench (7)
7 N. Fedor
23 Bebé
15 R. Raţ
9 Manucho Gonçalves
13 Juan Carlos
22 José Crespo
26 Jonatan Caballero

Levante

1 Diego Mariño G
4 David Navarro
12 Juanfran D
2 Iván López D
14 C. Medjani D
5 Simão Junior
17 Xumetra M
7 Verza M
10 Rubén García M
8 J. Lerma M
18 Víctor Casadesús F
Bench (7)
3 Toño
20 Deyverson
11 José Luis Morales
13 Rubén
19 Pedro López
21 G. Rossi
25 Joan Verdú

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Carlos Clos Gomez · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.