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La Liga
Referee: Alberto Undiano
Alaves
S U T T T
2–0
Full-time
Levante
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,8
This season — La Liga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 37%
41%
32%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
68%
Both score Ø 50%
45%
55%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
16 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 10
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alaves 7. · Levante 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 23 15 6 2 +37 51
2 Real Madrid 23 14 3 6 +13 45
3 Ath Madrid 23 12 8 3 +16 44
4 Sevilla 23 10 7 6 +13 37
5 Getafe 23 9 8 6 +9 35
6 Betis 23 9 5 9 -3 32
7 Alaves 22 9 5 8 -5 32
8 Valencia 23 6 13 4 +4 31
9 Sociedad 23 8 7 8 +2 31
10 Eibar 23 7 9 7 -1 30
11 Leganes 23 7 8 8 -2 29
12 Espanol 23 8 4 11 -10 28
13 Ath Bilbao 23 5 12 6 -5 27
14 Levante 22 7 6 9 -8 27
15 Valladolid 23 6 8 9 -9 26
16 Celta 23 6 6 11 -4 24
17 Girona 23 5 9 9 -10 24
18 Vallecano 23 6 5 12 -13 23
19 Villarreal 23 3 11 9 -8 20
20 Huesca 23 4 6 13 -16 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alaves Levante
1–0 Laguardia
Jony
23′
44′
🟨 Erick Cabaco
Half-time 1–0
Tomás Pina 🟨
48′
60′
🔁 E. Bardhi
↦ N. Vukčević
Darko Brašanac 🟨
65′
67′
🔁 Borja Mayoral
↦ M. Simon
Víctor Laguardia 🟨
70′
Manu García 🔁
↦ D. Brašanac
75′
80′
🟨 Antonio Luna
86′
🔁 R. Dwamena
↦ Luna
D. Rolan 🔁
↦ T. Inui
88′
Borja Bastón 🔁
↦ J. Calleri
90′
2–0 Jony
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Alaves

4-3-3
1 Fernando Pacheco G
5 Laguardia D
15 Ximo Navarro D
6 G. Maripán D
3 Rubén Duarte D
11 T. Inui M
22 M. Wakaso M
8 Tomás Pina M
20 D. Brašanac M
23 Jony M
12 J. Calleri F
Bench (7)
19 Manu García
9 D. Rolan
18 Borja Bastón
2 Carlos Vigaray
7 Álex Blanco
10 J. Guidetti
13 Antonio Sivera

Coach: Abelardo

Levante

4-4-2
25 Aitor Fernández G
12 Coke D
22 Luna D
14 Rúben Vezo D
18 E. Cabaco D
5 C. Doukouré M
17 N. Vukčević M
11 José Luis Morales M
9 Roger Martí F
23 Jason M
7 M. Simon F
Bench (7)
10 E. Bardhi
2 Borja Mayoral
20 R. Dwamena
4 Rober
13 Oier
19 Pedro López
27 Fran Manzanara

Coach: Paco López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alberto Undiano · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.