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La Liga
Referee: Eduardo Prieto Iglesias
Ath Madrid
U S S S U
1–0
Full-time
Levante
S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
4,5
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
0,8
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
22%
78%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,6
Scored
1,4
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
19 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Madrid 2. · Levante 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 18 12 4 2 +30 40
2 Ath Madrid 18 9 8 1 +13 35
3 Sevilla 18 9 6 3 +13 33
4 Alaves 19 9 5 5 +3 32
5 Real Madrid 18 9 3 6 +3 30
6 Getafe 19 7 7 5 +5 28
7 Betis 18 7 5 6 +0 26
8 Girona 19 5 9 5 -2 24
9 Espanol 18 7 3 8 -5 24
10 Valencia 19 4 11 4 +0 23
11 Levante 18 6 5 7 -4 23
12 Sociedad 18 6 4 8 +0 22
13 Eibar 18 5 7 6 -4 22
14 Leganes 19 5 7 7 -4 22
15 Valladolid 19 5 7 7 -4 22
16 Celta 19 5 6 8 -1 21
17 Ath Bilbao 18 3 10 5 -7 19
18 Vallecano 19 5 4 10 -12 19
19 Villarreal 19 3 8 8 -5 17
20 Huesca 19 2 5 12 -19 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Madrid Levante
J. Giménez 🔁
↦ S. Savić
9′
42′
🟨 Jason
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Coke
↦ Chema
1–0 A. Griezmann
57′
68′
🔁 Borja Mayoral
↦ Roger Martí
68′
🔁 Rubén Rochina
↦ N. Vukčević
T. Lemar 🔁
↦ Á. Correa
72′
N. Kalinić 🔁
↦ Vitolo
76′
85′
🟨 Erick Cabaco
90′
🟨 José Campaña
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
20 Juanfran D
2 D. Godín D
4 S. Arias D
15 S. Savić D
23 Vitolo M
6 Koke M
5 T. Partey M
14 Rodri Hernández M
7 A. Griezmann F
10 Á. Correa M
Bench (7)
24 J. Giménez
11 T. Lemar
9 N. Kalinić
1 Adán
35 Francisco Montero
43 Toni Moya
47 Joaquín Muñoz

Coach: D. Simeone

Levante

3-5-2
13 Oier G
3 Toño M
6 Chema D
18 E. Cabaco D
4 Rober D
24 Campaña M
17 N. Vukčević M
11 José Luis Morales M
10 E. Bardhi M
9 Roger Martí F
23 Jason M
Bench (7)
12 Coke
2 Borja Mayoral
16 Rubén Rochina
5 C. Doukouré
7 M. Simon
21 E. Boateng
25 Aitor Fernández

Coach: Paco López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Eduardo Prieto Iglesias · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
14,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.