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La Liga
Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez
Girona
U T T U U
1–1
Full-time
Alaves
U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Girona Alaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,7
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 39%
28%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
39%
50%
Both score Ø 53%
56%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
9 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
21 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Girona 10. · Alaves 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 18 12 4 2 +30 40
2 Ath Madrid 18 9 8 1 +13 35
3 Sevilla 18 9 6 3 +13 33
4 Alaves 18 9 4 5 +3 31
5 Real Madrid 18 9 3 6 +3 30
6 Betis 18 7 5 6 +0 26
7 Getafe 18 6 7 5 +4 25
8 Espanol 18 7 3 8 -5 24
9 Valencia 19 4 11 4 +0 23
10 Girona 18 5 8 5 -2 23
11 Levante 18 6 5 7 -4 23
12 Sociedad 18 6 4 8 +0 22
13 Eibar 18 5 7 6 -4 22
14 Leganes 19 5 7 7 -4 22
15 Valladolid 19 5 7 7 -4 22
16 Celta 19 5 6 8 -1 21
17 Ath Bilbao 18 3 10 5 -7 19
18 Vallecano 19 5 4 10 -12 19
19 Villarreal 18 3 8 7 -4 17
20 Huesca 19 2 5 12 -19 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Girona Alaves
1–0 C. Stuani
Pedro Porro
12′
21′
🟨 Jonathan Calleri
Douglas Luiz 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–1
50′
Borja Bastón 1–1
J. Calleri
52′
🟨 Víctor Laguardia
Christian Stuani 🟨
61′
Valery 🔁
↦ Douglas Luiz
61′
Aleix García 🔁
↦ Álex Granell
74′
79′
🔁 D. Brašanac
↦ Rubén Sobrino
Pere Pons 🟨
80′
A. Lozano 🔁
↦ Portu
83′
89′
🔁 J. Guidetti
↦ Borja Bastón
Pedro Porro 🟨
90′
92′
🔁 Martín
↦ Burgui
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Girona

3-4-2-1
13 Y. Bounou G
2 B. Espinosa D
5 Alcalá D
15 Juanpe D
10 Borja García F
9 Portu F
6 Álex Granell M
8 Pere Pons M
12 Douglas Luiz M
29 Pedro Porro M
7 C. Stuani F
Bench (7)
34 Valery
23 Aleix García
19 A. Lozano
1 Iraizoz
4 Ramalho
20 Muniesa
22 S. Doumbia

Coach: Eusebio Sacristán

Alaves

4-4-2
1 Fernando Pacheco G
5 Laguardia D
15 Ximo Navarro D
6 G. Maripán D
3 Rubén Duarte D
19 Manu García M
8 Tomás Pina M
14 Burgui M
18 Borja Bastón F
7 Rubén Sobrino F
12 J. Calleri F
Bench (7)
20 D. Brašanac
10 J. Guidetti
21 Martín
13 Antonio Sivera
16 D. Torres
24 P. Twumasi
26 Adrián Diéguez

Coach: Abelardo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.