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La Liga
Referee: Jose Luis Munuera Montero
Getafe
U S U T S
4–0
Full-time
Alaves
T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Getafe Alaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 42%
37%
47%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
21%
47%
Both score Ø 50%
47%
53%
Average goals
1,9
2,2
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
16 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Getafe 6. · Alaves 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 19 13 4 2 +33 43
2 Ath Madrid 19 10 8 1 +14 38
3 Sevilla 19 9 6 4 +11 33
4 Real Madrid 19 10 3 6 +4 33
5 Alaves 19 9 5 5 +3 32
6 Getafe 19 7 7 5 +5 28
7 Betis 19 7 5 7 -1 26
8 Sociedad 19 7 4 8 +1 25
9 Girona 19 5 9 5 -2 24
10 Espanol 19 7 3 9 -6 24
11 Valencia 19 4 11 4 +0 23
12 Levante 19 6 5 8 -5 23
13 Leganes 19 5 7 7 -4 22
14 Valladolid 19 5 7 7 -4 22
15 Ath Bilbao 19 4 10 5 -5 22
16 Eibar 19 5 7 7 -7 22
17 Celta 19 5 6 8 -1 21
18 Vallecano 19 5 4 10 -12 19
19 Villarreal 19 3 8 8 -5 17
20 Huesca 19 2 5 12 -19 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Getafe Alaves
1–0 Jaime Mata
33′
40′
🟨 Ximo Navarro
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Jorge Molina
S. Cristóforo
46′
3–0 Jorge Molina
Jaime Mata
55′
62′
🟨 Tomás Pina
65′
🔁 M. Wakaso
↦ Manu García
73′
🔁 J. Guidetti
↦ J. Calleri
73′
🔁 P. Twumasi
↦ Rubén Sobrino
Ángel 🔁
↦ Jorge Molina
76′
77′
🟨 Rubén Duarte
78′
🟨 Mubarak Wakaso
Hugo Duro 🔁
↦ Antunes
81′
Samuel Sáiz 🔁
↦ Portillo
86′
4–0 Jaime Mata
S. Cristóforo
88′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Getafe

4-4-2
13 David Soria G
3 Antunes D
22 D. Suárez D
6 L. Cabrera D
4 Bruno González D
2 D. Dakonam D
8 Portillo M
15 S. Cristóforo M
20 N. Maksimović M
19 Jorge Molina F
7 Jaime Mata F
Bench (7)
9 Ángel
27 Hugo Duro
11 Samuel Sáiz
1 L. Chichizola
17 Robert Ibáñez
21 Miquel
23 Iván Alejo

Coach: José Bordalás

Alaves

4-4-2
1 Fernando Pacheco G
15 Ximo Navarro D
6 G. Maripán D
3 Rubén Duarte D
21 Martín D
19 Manu García M
8 Tomás Pina M
14 Burgui M
18 Borja Bastón F
7 Rubén Sobrino F
12 J. Calleri F
Bench (7)
22 M. Wakaso
10 J. Guidetti
24 P. Twumasi
2 Carlos Vigaray
13 Antonio Sivera
20 D. Brašanac
26 Adrián Diéguez

Coach: Abelardo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jose Luis Munuera Montero · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.