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Serie A

Referee: Marco Guida

Atalanta

S S T T T

0–2

Full-time

Genoa

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Genoa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,8

This season — Serie A · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 31%

39%

22%

Points per game

1,3

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 36%

33%

39%

Average goals

2,3

2,4

Scored

1,1

0,9

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

14 Shots 13

0 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 4

4 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Atalanta 10. · Genoa 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	19	12	3	4	+12	39
2	Napoli	18	11	5	2	+19	38
3	Fiorentina	19	12	2	5	+18	38
4	Juventus	18	11	3	4	+17	36
5	Roma	19	9	7	3	+14	34
6	Sassuolo	18	8	7	3	+6	31
7	Milan	19	8	5	6	+2	29
8	Empoli	18	8	3	7	+0	27
9	Lazio	19	8	3	8	-4	27
10	Atalanta	18	7	3	8	-1	24
11	Udinese	19	7	3	9	-9	24
12	Chievo	18	6	5	7	+3	23
13	Sampdoria	18	6	5	7	-1	23
14	Torino	17	6	4	7	+0	22
15	Bologna	18	7	1	10	-4	22
16	Palermo	18	5	3	10	-11	18
17	Genoa	18	4	4	10	-9	16
18	Frosinone	18	4	3	11	-17	15
19	Carpi	19	3	5	11	-17	14
20	Verona	18	0	8	10	-18	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	9	7	2	0	+12	23
2	Fiorentina	10	7	1	2	+13	22
3	Roma	9	6	2	1	+11	20
4	Juventus	9	6	2	1	+10	20
5	Inter	10	6	1	3	+4	19
6	Lazio	10	5	3	2	+6	18
7	Sampdoria	9	5	2	2	+7	17
8	Milan	9	5	2	2	+2	17
9	Atalanta	8	5	1	2	+7	16
10	Sassuolo	8	4	4	0	+4	16
11	Torino	9	4	3	2	+5	15
12	Empoli	9	4	1	4	+1	13
13	Genoa	9	4	1	4	+0	13
14	Frosinone	9	4	1	4	-1	13
15	Chievo	9	3	3	3	+3	12
16	Palermo	10	3	2	5	-4	11
17	Udinese	9	3	2	4	-4	11
18	Bologna	9	3	1	5	+0	10
19	Carpi	10	2	3	5	-3	9
20	Verona	9	0	4	5	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	9	6	2	1	+8	20
2	Juventus	9	5	1	3	+7	16
3	Fiorentina	9	5	1	3	+5	16
4	Napoli	9	4	3	2	+7	15
5	Sassuolo	10	4	3	3	+2	15
6	Roma	10	3	5	2	+3	14
7	Empoli	9	4	2	3	-1	14
8	Udinese	10	4	1	5	-5	13
9	Milan	10	3	3	4	+0	12
10	Bologna	9	4	0	5	-4	12
11	Chievo	9	3	2	4	+0	11
12	Lazio	9	3	0	6	-10	9
13	Atalanta	10	2	2	6	-8	8
14	Torino	8	2	1	5	-5	7
15	Palermo	8	2	1	5	-7	7
16	Sampdoria	9	1	3	5	-8	6
17	Carpi	9	1	2	6	-14	5
18	Verona	9	0	4	5	-10	4
19	Genoa	9	0	3	6	-9	3
20	Frosinone	9	0	2	7	-16	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.