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Serie A

Referee: Massimiliano Irrati

Atalanta

T T S S T

3–3

Full-time

Roma

S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Roma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,3

3,5

Scored

1,0

2,5

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,5

This season — Serie A · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 42%

28%

56%

Points per game

1,1

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

41%

56%

Both score Ø 57%

41%

72%

Average goals

2,2

3,1

Scored

1,0

2,1

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

34% Possession 66%

13 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 6

2 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Atalanta 15. · Roma 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	32	24	4	4	+41	76
2	Napoli	33	21	7	5	+37	70
3	Roma	32	18	10	4	+34	64
4	Inter	33	18	7	8	+14	61
5	Fiorentina	32	16	8	8	+16	56
6	Milan	32	13	10	9	+7	49
7	Sassuolo	32	12	12	8	+5	48
8	Lazio	32	12	9	11	+0	45
9	Chievo	32	12	8	12	-2	44
10	Torino	33	11	9	13	-2	42
11	Genoa	33	11	7	15	-3	40
12	Empoli	32	10	9	13	-7	39
13	Bologna	33	10	7	16	-7	37
14	Sampdoria	32	9	9	14	-3	36
15	Atalanta	32	9	9	14	-7	36
16	Udinese	32	9	7	16	-19	34
17	Carpi	33	7	10	16	-18	31
18	Palermo	32	7	7	18	-28	28
19	Frosinone	32	7	6	19	-31	27
20	Verona	32	3	13	16	-27	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	16	13	3	0	+26	42
2	Juventus	15	12	2	1	+17	38
3	Roma	16	10	5	1	+22	35
4	Inter	17	11	2	4	+11	35
5	Fiorentina	16	10	4	2	+17	34
6	Milan	16	9	4	3	+8	31
7	Genoa	16	9	3	4	+11	30
8	Lazio	16	8	3	5	+7	27
9	Sampdoria	16	7	4	5	+7	25
10	Atalanta	16	7	4	5	+5	25
11	Sassuolo	16	6	7	3	+2	25
12	Torino	17	6	6	5	+3	24
13	Chievo	16	6	6	4	+3	24
14	Frosinone	17	6	4	7	-5	22
15	Empoli	16	5	5	6	+0	20
16	Carpi	17	5	5	7	-2	20
17	Udinese	15	5	3	7	-6	18
18	Bologna	17	4	5	8	-2	17
19	Palermo	16	4	3	9	-9	15
20	Verona	16	2	6	8	-10	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	17	12	2	3	+24	38
2	Roma	16	8	5	3	+12	29
3	Napoli	17	8	4	5	+11	28
4	Inter	16	7	5	4	+3	26
5	Sassuolo	16	6	5	5	+3	23
6	Fiorentina	16	6	4	6	-1	22
7	Chievo	16	6	2	8	-5	20
8	Bologna	16	6	2	8	-5	20
9	Empoli	16	5	4	7	-7	19
10	Milan	16	4	6	6	-1	18
11	Torino	16	5	3	8	-5	18
12	Lazio	16	4	6	6	-7	18
13	Udinese	17	4	4	9	-13	16
14	Palermo	16	3	4	9	-19	13
15	Sampdoria	16	2	5	9	-10	11
16	Atalanta	16	2	5	9	-12	11
17	Carpi	16	2	5	9	-16	11
18	Genoa	17	2	4	11	-14	10
19	Verona	16	1	7	8	-17	10
20	Frosinone	15	1	2	12	-26	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.